Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 1-2 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.