Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (9.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.