Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.74% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.88%) and 2-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%) , while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.