Club Friendlies 3
Jun 20, 2026 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Melvin Sports Complex
  • Jordan Jenkins 56' goal
  • goal 16'
  • goal 87'

Glentoran vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Glentoran

All competitions

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.74% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 17.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.88%) and 2-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%) , while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Glentoran 61.35% (-0.36)
Draw 20.74% (+0.14)
Caernarfon Town 17.96% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.14% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.43% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 21.57% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 55.7% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 44.3% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 31.96% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 68.04% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 19.62% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 80.38% (+0.20)

First Half Winner

Glentoran 43.81% (-0.16)
Draw 36.27% (+0.16)
Caernarfon Town 19.91%

Team To Score First

Glentoran 63.42% (-0.19)
No Goal 5.45% (+0.07)
Caernarfon Town 31.13% (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 60.34% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.1%
Under 8 28.56% (+0.03)
Over 9 48.81% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 39.66% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 37.82% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 62.18% (+0.03)

Glentoran Goals

Over 1.5 57.05% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 42.95% (+0.42)
Over 2.5 29.66% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 70.34% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 12.68% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 87.32% (+0.22)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 54.25% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 45.75% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 21.3% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 78.7% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 5.93% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 94.07% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 1.53% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 98.47% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Glentoran 61.35%
Draw 20.74%
Caernarfon Town 17.97%
Glentoran
2-1 @ 11.27% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 10.88% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 10.26% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.55% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 6.34% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.04)
Other @ 12.67% (-0.23)
Total : 61.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.04% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.45% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.53% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.74%
Caernarfon Town
0-1 @ 5.3% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 5.04% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.42% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.48% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.52% (+0.05)
Total : 17.97%