Conference League
Jul 16, 2026 5.30pm
A. Le Coq Arena

Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Levadia Tallinn

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 6.30pm
Caernarfon 0 - 5 Levadia

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 6.30pm
Caernarfon 0 - 5 Levadia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Levadia Tallinn win with a probability of 60.01%. A win for Caernarfon Town has a probability of 21.44% and a draw has a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Levadia Tallinn win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.28%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win is 1-2 (5.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.33%).

Result

Levadia Tallinn 60.01%
Draw 18.55%
Caernarfon Town 21.44%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.62%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.72%
Under 1.5 15.28%
Over 2.5 65.56%
Under 2.5 34.44%
Over 3.5 42.73%
Under 3.5 57.27%
Over 4.5 28.68% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 71.32% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Levadia Tallinn 54.7% (-0.01)
Draw 30.37% (+0.02)
Caernarfon Town 14.93% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Levadia Tallinn 70.2%
No Goal 3.43%
Caernarfon Town 26.37%

Corners

Over 8 68.28%
Equal 8 10.38%
Under 8 21.33% (-0.02)
Over 9 56.75%
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 31.72%
Over 10.5 45.1%
Under 10.5 54.9%

Levadia Tallinn Goals

Over 1.5 61.18%
Under 1.5 38.82%
Over 2.5 36.03%
Under 2.5 63.97%
Over 3.5 17.7%
Under 3.5 82.3%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 56.72% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 43.28% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 28.22% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 71.78% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.64% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.36% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.55%
Under 3.5 96.45%

Score analysis

Levadia Tallinn 60.01%
Draw 18.55%
Caernarfon Town 21.44%
Levadia Tallinn
2-1 @ 9.5%
2-0 @ 8.28% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.71%
3-1 @ 6.53%
3-0 @ 6.31%
3-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 17.55%
Total : 60.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.33%
2-2 @ 5.28%
0-0 @ 3.43%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.55%
Caernarfon Town
1-2 @ 5.61%
0-1 @ 4.14%
0-2 @ 2.56%
1-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 21.44%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 9, 2026 6.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT The Oval
  • Ben Nash 63' redcard
  • Noah Edwards 84' yellowcard
  • goal Rasmus Peetson 15'
  • yellowcard Maksimilian Skvortsov 20'
  • goal João Pedro 41'
  • goal Mark Oliver Roosnupp 45'+1'
  • goal Mihkel Ainsalu 47'
  • goal Enock Otoo 78'
  • yellowcard Ben Nash 88'
  • yellowcard Wendell 88'