Conference League
Jul 16, 2026 5.30pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Sportland Arena
  • Enock Otoo 4' goal
  • Wendell 20' goal
  • João Pedro 33' goal
  • A. Nwankwo 65' yellowcard
  • Bubacarr Tambedou 70' goal
  • Mihkel Ainsalu 89' goal
  • yellowcard Zack Clarke 65'
  • yellowcard Mathew Jones 67'

Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Levadia Tallinn

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 6.30pm
Caernarfon 0 - 5 Levadia

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 6.30pm
Caernarfon 0 - 5 Levadia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levadia Tallinn win with a probability of 60.03%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 21.44% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Levadia Tallinn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 1-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (5.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%).

Result

Levadia Tallinn 60.03% (+0.06)
Draw 18.5% (-0.02)
Caernarfon Town 21.44% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.63% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.73% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 15.27% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 65.59% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 34.41% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 42.79% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 57.17% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 28.73% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 71.27% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Levadia Tallinn 54.68% (+0.01)
Draw 30.37%
Caernarfon Town 14.96%

Team To Score First

Levadia Tallinn 70.23% (-0.15)
No Goal 3.41% (+0.02)
Caernarfon Town 26.36% (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 68.02% (+0.07)
Equal 8 10.38% (-0.02)
Under 8 21.6% (-0.04)
Over 9 56.53% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.49% (-0.02)
Under 9 31.98% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 44.93% (+0.09)
Under 10.5 55.07% (-0.09)

Levadia Tallinn Goals

Over 1.5 61.21% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 38.79% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 36.07% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 63.93% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 17.7%
Under 3.5 82.3%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 56.69% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 43.31% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 28.23% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 71.77% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 10.68% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.32% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.56% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.44% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Levadia Tallinn 60.03%
Draw 18.49%
Caernarfon Town 21.44%
Levadia Tallinn
2-1 @ 9.48%
2-0 @ 8.28% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.7%
3-1 @ 6.55%
3-0 @ 6.32% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 17.56% (+0.01)
Total : 60.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.31% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.41% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.14% (-0.01)
Total : 18.49%
Caernarfon Town
1-2 @ 5.59%
0-1 @ 4.12% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.41% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.42% (-0.02)
Total : 21.44%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 9, 2026 6.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT The Oval
  • Ben Nash 63' redcard
  • Noah Edwards 84' yellowcard
  • goal Rasmus Peetson 15'
  • yellowcard Maksimilian Skvortsov 20'
  • goal João Pedro 41'
  • goal Mark Oliver Roosnupp 45'+1'
  • goal Mihkel Ainsalu 47'
  • goal Enock Otoo 78'
  • yellowcard Ben Nash 88'
  • yellowcard Wendell 88'