Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levadia Tallinn win with a probability of 74.72%. A draw had a probability of 14.13% and a win for Vaprus had a probability of 11.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levadia Tallinn win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.47%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.03%) , while for a Vaprus win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.