Club Friendlies 3
Jan 17, 2026 11.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Pärnu Rannastaadion
  • Sander Kõlvart 13' goal
  • Hendrik Vainu 31' yellowcard
  • Siim Aer 46' yellowcard
  • Henri Välja 46' yellowcard
  • Johann Allas 46' yellowcard
  • Ako Korre 46' yellowcard
  • Mark Anders Lepik 46' yellowcard
  • Tristan Pajo 46' yellowcard
  • Sten Jakob Viidas 46' yellowcard
  • Mathias Villota 46' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kauber 46' yellowcard
  • Joonas Sild 46' yellowcard
  • Markkus Ristimets 60' yellowcard
  • Tristan Pajo 74' yellowcard
  • goal Sergei Zenjov 28'
  • yellowcard Artjom Jakovenko 31'
  • yellowcard Kaur Kivila 31'
  • yellowcard Tevan Eensalu 31'
  • yellowcard Karel Isok 31'
  • yellowcard Nikita Mihhailov 31'
  • yellowcard Andreas Vaher 31'
  • yellowcard Ronald Sammul 31'
  • yellowcard Eerik Paltser 31'
  • yellowcard Jaron Silm 46'
  • yellowcard Patrick Pihlak 46'
  • yellowcard Karl-Tristan Lorenz 46'
  • yellowcard Rauno Alliku 60'
  • yellowcard Kristo Hussar 60'
  • yellowcard Rauno Sappinen 60'
  • yellowcard Airon Kollo 60'
  • yellowcard Kirill Belohh 60'
  • yellowcard Marten Kukkonen 60'
  • yellowcard Mihhail Kolobov 60'
  • yellowcard Uku Korjus 60'
  • yellowcard Vladislav Kreida 60'
  • yellowcard Andero Tatrik 60'
  • goal Rauno Alliku 88'

Vaprus vs Flora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vaprus

Flora

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flora win with a probability of 64.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.34% and a win for Vaprus had a probability of 16.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flora win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.21%) and 1-3 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%) , while for a Vaprus win it was 2-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Vaprus 16.95% (+0.18)
Draw 18.34% (+0.09)
Flora 64.71% (-0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.86% (+0.39)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.48% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 13.52% (-0.39)
Over 2.5 68.64% (+0.60)
Under 2.5 31.36% (-0.59)
Over 3.5 47.05% (+0.73)
Under 3.5 52.95% (-0.73)
Over 4.5 32.01% (+0.62)
Under 4.5 67.99% (-0.63)

First Half Winner

Vaprus 17.47% (+0.02)
Draw 30.96% (-0.03)
Flora 51.57% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Vaprus 30.71% (-0.11)
No Goal 2.94% (-0.13)
Flora 66.35% (+0.24)

Corners

Over 8 78.52% (-0.03)
Equal 8 7.64%
Under 8 13.84% (+0.02)
Over 9 69.24% (-0.03)
Equal 9 9.28%
Under 9 21.48% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 58.91% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 41.09% (+0.02)

Vaprus Goals

Over 1.5 26.04% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 73.96% (-0.60)
Over 2.5 9.76% (+0.53)
Under 2.5 90.24% (-0.54)
Over 3.5 3.02% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 96.98% (-0.11)

Flora Goals

Over 0.5 88.43% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 11.57% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 67.14% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 32.86% (-0.28)
Over 2.5 41.15% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 58.85% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 20.5% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 79.5% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Vaprus 16.95%
Draw 18.35%
Flora 64.72%
Vaprus
2-1 @ 4.31% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 3.38% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 1.99% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 1.84% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.68% (+0.12)
Total : 16.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.77% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.3% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 2.94% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 2% (+0.26)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.35%
Flora
1-2 @ 10.48% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 8.21% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 7.76% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.16)
0-3 @ 6.06% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 4.83% (+0.05)
Other @ 20.16% (+0.11)
Total : 64.72%