Welsh Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2026 2.30pm
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont vs The New Saints - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
May 2, 2026 5.25pm
Pen-y-Bont 2 - 0 Haverfordwest

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 5.15pm
Barry 0 - 1 New Saints

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a The New Saints win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw has a probability of 23.17% and a win for Pen-y-Bont has a probability of 21.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.82%) , while for a Pen-y-Bont win it is 1-0 (6.7%).

Result

Pen-y-Bont 21.12% (-0.01)
Draw 23.17%
The New Saints 55.72% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.49%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.03% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 27.97% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 47.39% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 52.61% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 25.52% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 74.48% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 14.68% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 85.32% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Pen-y-Bont 18.64% (-0.04)
Draw 37.97%
The New Saints 43.4% (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Pen-y-Bont 31.78% (-0.05)
No Goal 8.12% (+0.02)
The New Saints 60.1% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 55.79% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.14%
Under 8 33.07% (+0.03)
Over 9 44.62% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.18%
Under 9 44.21% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 34.28% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 65.72% (+0.02)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 1.5 21.26% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 78.74% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 6.34% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.66% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.6% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.4% (+0.02)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 79.26% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 20.74% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 48.18% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 51.82% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 22.71% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77.29% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.67%
Under 3.5 91.33%

Score analysis

Pen-y-Bont 21.11%
Draw 23.18%
The New Saints 55.73%
Pen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 6.7%
2-1 @ 5.29%
2-0 @ 3.22%
3-1 @ 1.8% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.59% (-0.02)
Total : 21.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82%
0-0 @ 8.12% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.18%
The New Saints
0-1 @ 13.17% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 10.58% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.71% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.75% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.25%
2-3 @ 2.61%
Other @ 8.66%
Total : 55.73%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Mar 14, 2026 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Brewery Field
  • Chris Venables 19' goal
  • Ioan Phillips 88' yellowcard
  • Jacob Jones 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Owain Warlow 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Juan Carlos Villacorta 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Peter Coe 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Brobbel 30'
  • yellowcard Jordan Marshall 66'
  • yellowcard Ben Wilson 80'
  • goal Jordan Williams 90'+2'
Welsh Premier League
Feb 7, 2026 12.30pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Jordan Williams 22' goal
  • Rory Holden 26' goal
  • Ryan Brobbel 47' goal
  • Rory Holden 51' goal
  • Adam Wilson 52' yellowcard
  • Daniel Barton 64' yellowcard
  • Ben Wilson 64' yellowcard
  • Ben Clark 64' yellowcard
  • Jordan Marshall 76' yellowcard
  • Rory Holden 79' goal
  • Ben Wilson 87' goal
  • yellowcard Ethan Cann 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Billy Borge 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Noah Daley 56'
  • yellowcard Chris Venables 56'
Welsh Premier League
Oct 11, 2025 5.15pm
6
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Mar 29, 2025 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bryntirion Park
  • James Crole 73' goal
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 3
Feb 8, 2025 12.15pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Daniel Davies 11' goal
  • Harrison McGahey 34' yellowcard
  • Aramide Oteh 54' goal
  • Daniel Williams 58' yellowcard
  • Ryan Brobbel 63' goal
  • Ben Clark 88' goal
  • yellowcard Harrison McGahey 34'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Park Hall Stadium
  • Josh Pask 50' goal
  • Daniel Davies 65' goal
  • Daniel Redmond 89' goal
  • Aramide Oteh 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal James Crole 27'
  • goal James Crole 31'
  • yellowcard Gabe Kircough 56'
  • yellowcard Nathan Wood 86'
  • yellowcard Billy Borge 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Kane Owen 90'+1'