Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 50.85%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 2-1 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.