Champions League Gameweek 4
Nov 3, 2026 8.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 4
FT Estadio de la Cerámica
  • Santi Comesaña 45' yellowcard
  • Santiago Mouriño 50' yellowcard
  • Sergi Cardona 66' yellowcard
  • Alberto Moleiro 78' yellowcard
  • goal João Neves 9'
  • goal Désiré Doué 12'
  • goal Senny Mayulu 13'
  • goal Fabián Ruiz 17'
  • goal Fabián Ruiz 50'
  • yellowcard Quentin Ndjantou 74'
  • goal David Boly 78'

Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Dortmund 3 - 2 Villarreal

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
PSG 6 - 1 Slovan Bratislava

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 19.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.17%) and 0-1 (7.1%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (6.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%).

Result

Villarreal 28.52%
Draw 19.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Paris Saint-Germain 51.53% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.15% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.77% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 16.23% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 64.39% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 35.58% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 42.15% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 57.85% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 27.9% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 72.1% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Villarreal 30.12%
Draw 35.23%
Paris Saint-Germain 34.64%

Team To Score First

Villarreal 44.86% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 3.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Paris Saint-Germain 51.42% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.3%
Equal 8 10.88%
Under 8 30.81%
Over 9 47.17%
Equal 9 11.13%
Under 9 41.7%
Over 10.5 36.67%
Under 10.5 63.33%

Villarreal Goals

Over 1.5 34.54% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 65.46% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 15.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 84.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.71% ▲ (+0.01)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 80.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 19.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 54.89% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 45.11% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 29.87% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 70.13% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 14.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 85.9% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Villarreal 28.52%
Draw 19.91%
Paris Saint-Germain 51.53%
Villarreal
2-1 @ 6.51%
1-0 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.44%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.86%
Other @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 28.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.91%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.54%
2-3 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 13.87% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 51.53%