Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Oct 30, 2026 6.00pm
Stade Océane

Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 4.15pm
Marseille 4 - 3 Le Havre
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Josh Maja

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Oct 26, 2026 7.30pm
PSG 2 - 0 Lyon
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Ferran Torres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 65.67%. A draw has a probability of 20.04% and a win for Le Havre has a probability of 14.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.01%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.15%) , while for a Le Havre win it is 1-0 (4.27%).

Result

Le Havre 14.3% ▼ (-0.24)
Draw 20.04% ▼ (-0.15)
Paris Saint-Germain 65.67% ▲ (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.6% ▼ (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.6% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 23.4% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 54.89% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 45.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 33.52% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 66.48% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 22.05% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 77.95% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Le Havre 17.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 34.75% ▼ (-0.10)
Paris Saint-Germain 47.31% ▲ (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Le Havre 27.42% ▼ (-0.27)
No Goal 6.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Paris Saint-Germain 66.09% ▲ (+0.30)

Corners

Over 8 56.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.23%
Under 8 32.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 45.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.33%
Under 9 43.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 34.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 65.37% ▼ (-0.02)

Le Havre Goals

Over 1.5 18.78% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 81.22% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 5.94% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 94.06% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.39% ▲ (+0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 85.67% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 14.33% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 1.5 59.72% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 40.28% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 32.81% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 67.19% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 14.93% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 85.07% ▼ (-0.12)

Score analysis

Le Havre 14.31%
Draw 20.04%
Paris Saint-Germain 65.68%
Le Havre
1-0 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 14.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.15% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.04%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-1 @ 12.67% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 12.01% ▲ (+0.12)
1-2 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 14.73% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 65.68%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2026 8.05pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Océane
  • Fodé Doucouré 61' yellowcard
  • Enzo Koffi Vinette 62' yellowcard
  • Kenny Quetant 71' yellowcard
  • Yassine Kechta 84' yellowcard
  • Ally Samatta 84' yellowcard
  • Ally Samatta 85' yellowcard
  • goal Bradley Barcola 37'
  • yellowcard Désiré Doué 61'
  • yellowcard Nuno Mendes 61'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Mbaye 71'
  • yellowcard Désiré Doué 79'
Ligue 1
Nov 22, 2025 8.05pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Desire Doue 8' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 50' goal
  • goal Issa Soumare 60'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Aug 16, 2024 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Oceane
  • Etienne Youte Kinkoue 15' yellowcard
  • Gautier Lloris 48' goal
  • Antoine Joujou 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Gautier Lloris 88' yellowcard
  • goal Lee Kang-in 3'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 85'
  • goal Bradley Barcola 86'
  • goal Randal Kolo 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2024 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Parc des Princes
  • Bradley Barcola 29' goal
  • Warren Zaire-Emery 74' yellowcard
  • Achraf Hakimi 78' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 90'+5' goal
  • goal Christopher Operi 19'
  • goal Andre Ayew 38'
  • goal Abdoulaye Toure 61'
  • yellowcard Arouna Sangante 90'+7'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Oceane
  • Christopher Operi 68' yellowcard
  • Nabil Alioui 76' yellowcard
  • redcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 10'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 23'
  • yellowcard Danilo Pereira 87'
  • goal Vitinha 89'