Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 25, 2026 4.15pm
Stade Vélodrome

Marseille vs Le Havre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 2.00pm
Angers 2 - 5 Marseille
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 4.15pm
Le Havre 1 - 3 Auxerre
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Ally Samatta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 57.12%. A draw has a probability of 22.59% and a win for Le Havre has a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.49%) , while for a Le Havre win it is 0-1 (5.54%).

Result

Marseille 57.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 22.59%
Le Havre 20.29% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.83%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 22.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 54.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.97% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 68.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 19.38% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 80.62% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Marseille 41.85%
Draw 37.84%
Le Havre 20.31%

Team To Score First

Marseille 61.24% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 6.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Le Havre 32.6%

Corners

Over 8 60.7%
Equal 8 11.11%
Under 8 28.19%
Over 9 49.12%
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 39.3%
Over 10.5 38.05%
Under 10.5 61.95%

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 53.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 46.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 27.6% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 72.4% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 11.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 88.54% ▼ (-0.02)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5 55.73%
Under 0.5 44.27%
Over 1.5 23.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 76.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 7.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.74% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Marseille 57.13%
Draw 22.59%
Le Havre 20.29%
Marseille
1-0 @ 11.09% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 11.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 57.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.49% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.72%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.59%
Le Havre
0-1 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.33%
0-2 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 20.29%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Océane
  • Sofiane Boufal 71' yellowcard
  • Simon Ebonog 72' yellowcard
  • Timothée Pembélé 72' yellowcard
  • Enzo Koffi Vinette 80' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • Yassine Kechta 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mason Greenwood 55'
  • yellowcard Arthur Vermeeren 66'
  • yellowcard Nouhoum Kamissoko 86'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Israel Ange Lago 87'
  • yellowcard Nouhoum Kamissoko 87'
  • yellowcard 89'
  • yellowcard Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri 90'
Ligue 1
Oct 18, 2025 8.05pm
6
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Oceane
  • Loic Nego 48' yellowcard
  • Issa Soumare 66' goal
  • Timothee Pembele 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 52'
  • goal Amine Gouiri 56'
  • goal Mason Greenwood 85'
  • yellowcard Mason Greenwood 87'
  • goal Amine Gouiri 90'+9'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Jan 5, 2025 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 4 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • 25' goal
  • Valentin Rongier 25' goal
  • Bilal Nadir 39' goal
  • Neal Maupay 43' goal
  • Bilal Nadir 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Elye Wahi 66' goal
  • Ulisses Garcia 75' goal
  • goal Andre Ayew 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Oceane
  • Emmanuel Sabbi 82' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Bayo 90'+7' goal
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 64'
  • goal Michael Murillo 77'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 12.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Arouna Sangante 18' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 21' goal
  • Ismaila Sarr 84' goal
  • yellowcard Rassoul N'Diaye 12'
  • redcard Rassoul N'Diaye 40'
  • yellowcard Josue Casimir 50'