Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Oct 11, 2026 7.45pm
Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas

Troyes vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 7.45pm
Angers 2 - 0 Troyes
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Jérémy Le Douaron

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 7.45pm
Marseille 1 - 2 PSG
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Troyes win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Marseille has a probability of 37.53% and a draw has a probability of 23.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Marseille win is 1-2 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.77%).

Result

Troyes 38.92%
Draw 23.51%
Marseille 37.53%

Both Teams to Score: 

64.48%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.15%
Under 1.5 16.85%
Over 2.5 63.62%
Under 2.5 36.38%
Over 3.5 42%
Under 3.5 58%
Over 4.5 26.82%
Under 4.5 73.18%

First Half Winner

Troyes 31.29%
Draw 39.29%
Marseille 29.42%

Team To Score First

Troyes 49.7%
No Goal 4.42%
Marseille 45.88%

Corners

Over 8 45.8%
Equal 8 11.98%
Under 8 42.22%
Over 9 34.67%
Equal 9 11.12%
Under 9 54.2%
Over 10.5 25.17%
Under 10.5 74.83%

Troyes Goals

Over 1.5 45.7%
Under 1.5 54.3%
Over 2.5 21.81%
Under 2.5 78.19%
Over 3.5 8.96%
Under 3.5 91.04%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 72.93%
Under 0.5 27.07%
Over 1.5 44.52%
Under 1.5 55.48%
Over 2.5 21.19%
Under 2.5 78.81%
Over 3.5 8.63%
Under 3.5 91.37%

Score analysis

Troyes 38.92%
Draw 23.51%
Marseille 37.53%
Troyes
2-1 @ 8.24%
1-0 @ 6.34%
2-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 2.65%
Other @ 8.54%
Total : 38.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.77%
2-2 @ 6.77%
0-0 @ 4.42%
3-3 @ 2.13%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 23.51%
Marseille
1-2 @ 8.14%
0-1 @ 6.05%
0-2 @ 4.7%
1-3 @ 4.05%
2-3 @ 3.8%
0-3 @ 2.58%
Other @ 8.21%
Total : 37.53%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Apr 16, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Vitor Oliveira 2' goal
  • Cengiz Under 40' goal
  • Vitor Oliveira 64' goal
  • goal Mama Balde 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Chancel Mbemba 10'
  • goal Jordan Veretout 46'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Feb 27, 2022 4.05pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Mama Balde 27' yellowcard
  • Florian Tardieu 36' yellowcard
  • Adil Rami 36' yellowcard
  • Abdu Conte 49' yellowcard
  • Yoann Touzghar 90' goal
  • Giulian Biancone 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Valentin Rongier 11'
  • goal Dimitri Payet 28'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Payet 55'
  • yellowcard Pau Lopez 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Nov 28, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pape Gueye 16' yellowcard
  • Pol Lirola 74' goal
  • yellowcard Yoann Salmier 10'
  • yellowcard Florian Tardieu 17'
  • yellowcard Youssouf Kone 43'
  • yellowcard Gerson Rodrigues 59'
Ligue 1
Apr 15, 2018 4.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)
  • Samuel Grandsir 1' goal
  • Jimmy Giraudon 27' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Nivet 49' goal
  • Erwin Zalazny 75' yellowcard
  • goal Clinton N'Jie 11'
  • yellowcard Adil Rami 45'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Payet 59'
  • yellowcard Florian Thauvin 66'
  • goal Kostas Mitroglou 75'
  • goal Florian Thauvin 85'
Ligue 1
Dec 20, 2017 7.50pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)
  • Dimitri Payet 31' goal
  • Florian Thauvin 54' yellowcard
  • Luiz Gustavo 66' goal
  • Valere Germain 84' goal
  • goal Bryan Pele 14'