Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 25, 2026 7.45pm
Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 4.15pm
Strasbourg 1 - 3 PSG
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Ferran Torres

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 7.45pm
Lyon 2 - 1 Nice
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Ernest Nuamah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 68.15%. A draw has a probability of 19.67% and a win for Lyon has a probability of 12.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.35%) , while for a Lyon win it is 0-1 (3.79%).

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 68.15% ▼ (-1.50)
Draw 19.67% ▲ (+0.81)
Lyon 12.18% ▲ (+0.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.11% ▲ (+0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.78% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 21.22% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 57.98% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 2.5 41.99% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 3.5 37.46% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 3.5 62.5% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 4.5 25.67% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 4.5 74.33% ▲ (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 56.42% ▼ (-0.86)
Draw 31.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Lyon 12.37% ▲ (+0.88)

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 69.03% ▼ (-0.86)
No Goal 5.91% ▲ (+0.07)
Lyon 25.06% ▲ (+0.80)

Corners

Over 8 59.29% ▼ (-0.78)
Equal 8 10.84% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 8 29.87% ▲ (+1.17)
Over 9 48.12% ▼ (-0.31)
Equal 9 11.17% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 9 40.71% ▲ (+0.78)
Over 10.5 37.51% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 10.5 62.49% ▼ (-0.17)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 63.23% ▼ (-0.74)
Under 1.5 36.77% ▲ (+0.74)
Over 2.5 37.67% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 2.5 62.33% ▲ (+0.95)
Over 3.5 19.18% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 80.82% ▲ (+0.24)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 44.68% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 0.5 55.32% ▼ (-0.79)
Over 1.5 17.04% ▲ (+1.16)
Under 1.5 82.96% ▼ (-1.17)
Over 2.5 4.66% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 2.5 95.34% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 3.5 1.16% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 98.84% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 68.15%
Draw 19.66%
Lyon 12.17%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 11.5% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 11.08% ▼ (-0.20)
2-1 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.45)
3-2 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 19.1% ▼ (-0.30)
Total : 68.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.25)
0-0 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.39)
Other @ 0.08% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 19.66%
Lyon
0-1 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.15)
1-2 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.39)
0-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 12.17%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Parc des Princes
  • Gonçalo Ramos 33' yellowcard
  • Gonçalo Ramos 34' yellowcard
  • Warren Zaïre-Emery 39' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Dembélé 59' yellowcard
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 59' yellowcard
  • 59' yellowcard
  • Kang-in Lee 59' yellowcard
  • Fabián Ruiz 72' yellowcard
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 90'+4' goal
  • goal Endrick 6'
  • goal Afonso Moreira 18'
  • yellowcard 59'
  • yellowcard Hans Hateboer 60'
  • yellowcard Adam Karabec 79'
  • yellowcard Tanner Tessmann 79'
  • yellowcard Khalis Merah 85'
  • yellowcard Noham Kamara 85'
Ligue 1
Nov 9, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Rayan Cherki 83' goal
  • Thiago Almada 85' yellowcard
  • Corentin Tolisso 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 36'
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 53'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 59'
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Dec 15, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Ousmane Dembele 8' goal
  • Vitinha 14' goal
  • Lee Kang-in 15' yellowcard
  • Gianluigi Donnarumma 41' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 88' goal
  • goal Georges Mikautadze 40'
  • yellowcard Georges Mikautadze 41'
  • yellowcard Jordan Veretout 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Tagliafico 90'+2'
Coupe de France
May 25, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Duje Caleta-Car 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jake O'Brien 55' goal
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 88' yellowcard
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 22'
  • goal Fabian Ruiz 34'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Dembele 88'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 4 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Nemanja Matic 3' goal
  • Lucas Beraldo 6' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 32' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 42' goal
  • goal Ernest Nuamah 37'