Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Oct 9, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last game
Sep 18, 2026 7.45pm
Monaco 2 - 1 Lens
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Florian Thauvin

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 7.45pm
Lyon 4 - 0 Rennes
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Ernest Nuamah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lens win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Lyon has a probability of 30.79% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Lyon win is 1-2 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.63%).

Result

Lens 43.41%
Draw 25.8%
Lyon 30.79%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.96% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.43% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 22.57% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 54.52% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 45.48% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 31.91% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 68.09% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 18.06% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 81.94% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Lens 36.92% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 41.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Lyon 21.88% ▲ (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Lens 54.93% ▲ (+0.11)
No Goal 6.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Lyon 38.79% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 60.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 28.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 48.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 39.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 37.01% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 10.5 62.99% ▲ (+0.06)

Lens Goals

Over 1.5 44.68% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 55.32% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 20.12% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 79.88% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 7.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.97% ▼ (-0.02)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 67.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 32.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 34.77% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 65.23% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 13.11% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 86.89% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.96% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Lens 43.41%
Draw 25.79%
Lyon 30.8%
Lens
2-1 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 43.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.79%
Lyon
1-2 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 30.8%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Groupama Stadium
  • Roman Yaremchuk 46' yellowcard
  • Hans Hateboer 46' yellowcard
  • Malick Fofana 71' yellowcard
  • Ernest Nuamah 71' yellowcard
  • goal Wesley Saïd  20'
  • goal Wesley Saïd  32'
  • yellowcard Ismaëlo Ganiou 39'
  • goal Florian Sotoca 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Ruben Aguilar 46'
  • yellowcard Matthieu Udol 46'
  • yellowcard Matthieu Udol 47'
  • yellowcard Ruben Aguilar 47'
  • goal Florian Thauvin 53'
  • yellowcard Abdallah Sima 61'
  • yellowcard Adrien Thomasson  61'
Coupe de France
Mar 5, 2026 8.10pm
2
2
ET Groupama Stadium
  • Rémi Himbert 59' yellowcard
  • Roman Yaremchuk 67' goal
  • Hans Hateboer 69' yellowcard
  • Adam Karabec 87' yellowcard
  • Rémi Himbert 90'+4' goal
  • goal Florian Thauvin 23'
  • goal Abdallah Sima 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Amadou Haidara 78'
  • yellowcard Rayan Fofana 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Rayan Fofana 90'+6'
Ligue 1
Aug 16, 2025 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
May 4, 2025 4.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Moussa Niakhate 13' yellowcard
  • Malick Fofana 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Georges Mikautadze 79' goal
  • goal Goduine Koyalipou 21'
  • yellowcard Nampalys Mendy 54'
  • yellowcard Deiver Machado 64'
  • goal Anass Zaroury 85'
  • yellowcard Facundo Medina 89'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Ferdi Petit
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Ainsley Maitland-Niles 84' redcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Gradit 29'
  • goal Florian Sotoca 43'
  • goal Elye Wahi 53'
  • yellowcard Kevin Danso 83'
  • goal Kevin Danso 87'