Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Paris Brunner 32' goal
  • Lamine Camara 71' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Gradit  84' goal
  • yellowcard Florian Thauvin 53'
  • goal Matthieu Udol 57'

Monaco vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 4.15pm
Strasbourg 1 - 1 Monaco
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Paris Brunner

Lens

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 4.15pm
Le Mans 2 - 2 Lens
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Florian Thauvin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Lens had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (5.37%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Monaco 42.55% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 23.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Lens 33.57% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.64% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 15.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 64.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 35.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 43.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 56.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 26.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 73.01% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Monaco 32.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 37.73%
Lens 29.85% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Monaco 50.35% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 3.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Lens 45.71%

Corners

Over 8 58.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.77%
Under 8 30.04%
Over 9 46.14%
Equal 9 12.05%
Under 9 41.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 34.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 65.14% ▲ (+0.02)

Monaco Goals

Over 1.5 49.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 50.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 24.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 10.31%
Under 3.5 89.69%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 71.13% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 28.87% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 42.24% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 57.76% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 19.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 80.77% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 7.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.38% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Monaco 42.54%
Draw 23.88%
Lens 33.59%
Monaco
2-1 @ 8.68%
1-0 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-2 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 9.85%
Total : 42.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.88% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 7.37% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.23%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 23.88%
Lens
1-2 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.36%
0-2 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 33.59%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Feb 21, 2026 4.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Odsonne Édouard 3' goal
  • Florian Thauvin 56' goal
  • Abdallah Sima 63' yellowcard
  • Ruben Aguilar 75' yellowcard
  • Rayan Fofana 75' yellowcard
  • Rayan Fofana 76' yellowcard
  • Anthony Bermont 87' yellowcard
  • Florian Sotoca 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aladji Bamba 31'
  • goal Folarin Balogun 62'
  • yellowcard Ansu Fati 69'
  • goal Denis Zakaria 70'
  • goal Ansu Fati 72'
  • yellowcard Mika Biereth 85'
Ligue 1
Nov 8, 2025 8.05pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Neil El Aynaoui 21' goal
  • Facundo Medina 43' yellowcard
  • Neil El Aynaoui 56' goal
  • Adrien Thomasson 73' goal
  • Anass Zaroury 78' goal
  • yellowcard Krepin Diatta 45'+1'
  • redcard Soungoutou Magassa 52'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Vanderson 54' yellowcard
  • Denis Zakaria 84' goal
  • yellowcard Jonathan Gradit 9'
  • yellowcard Ruben Aguilar 34'
  • yellowcard Florian Sotoca 39'
  • yellowcard Remy Labeau 68'
  • yellowcard Will Still 81'
  • goal Przemyslaw Frankowski 90'+4'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 12.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Franck Haise 26' yellowcard
  • Elye Wahi 31' goal
  • Facundo Medina 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Adrien Thomasson 53' yellowcard
  • Nampalys Mendy 64' yellowcard
  • Wesley Said 77' goal
  • Brice Samba 82' yellowcard
  • Elye Wahi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Folarin Balogun 19'
  • yellowcard Kassoum Ouattara 25'
  • goal Brice Samba 30' (OG)
  • goal Takumi Minamino 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Edan Diop 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Radoslaw Majecki 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Radoslaw Majecki 90'+6'
Coupe de France
Jan 7, 2024 1.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Franck Haise 24' redcard
  • Faitout Maouassa 43' goal
  • Faitout Maouassa 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Brice Samba 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Florian Sotoca 62' goal
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 88' yellowcard
  • goal Wissam Ben Yedder 1'
  • goal Maghnes Akliouche 21'
  • yellowcard Maghnes Akliouche 53'
  • yellowcard Radoslaw Majecki 79'