Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Jean Bouin
  • Diego Coppola 69' yellowcard
  • Hamari Traoré 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Loïs Openda 63'

Paris FC vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris FC

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 7.45pm
Marseille 2 - 3 Paris FC
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Lassine Sinayoko

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Sep 4, 2026 6.00pm
Lyon 3 - 1 Auxerre
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Noah Nartey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (8.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Paris FC 40.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 26.36%
Lyon 33.48% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.36% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.76% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 26.24% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 49.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.95% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 15.45% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 84.55% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Paris FC 28.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 45.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Lyon 25.98% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Paris FC 47.66% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 7.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Lyon 44.74% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 57.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.9%
Under 8 30.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 45.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 12.15%
Under 9 42.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 34.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 10.5 65.55% ▲ (+0.04)

Paris FC Goals

Over 1.5 39.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 60.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 15.81% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 84.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.89% ▼ (-0.02)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 67.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 34.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 65.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 86.91% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 4.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.93% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Paris FC 40.16%
Draw 26.37%
Lyon 33.49%
Paris FC
1-0 @ 10.1% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78%
2-0 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 2.65%
Other @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 40.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 7.6% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.37%
Lyon
0-1 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.7%
0-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 2.15%
Other @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 33.49%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Groupama Stadium
  • Roman Yaremchuk 58' yellowcard
  • Corentin Tolisso 58' yellowcard
  • Endrick 65' yellowcard
  • Noah Nartey 65' yellowcard
  • Adil Hamdani 82' yellowcard
  • Corentin Tolisso 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Marshall Munetsi 63'
  • yellowcard Ciro Immobile 73'
  • yellowcard Luca Koleosho 73'
  • yellowcard Alimami Gory 73'
  • yellowcard Vincent Marchetti 87'
  • yellowcard Tuomas Ollila 90'+1'
Ligue 1
Oct 29, 2025 8.05pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT