Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Jean Bouin

Paris FC vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris FC

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 7.45pm
Marseille 2 - 3 Paris FC
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Lassine Sinayoko

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Sep 4, 2026 6.00pm
Lyon 3 - 1 Auxerre
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Noah Nartey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris FC win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Lyon has a probability of 33.99% and a draw has a probability of 26.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Lyon win is 0-1 (8.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.21%).

Result

Paris FC 39.73%
Draw 26.28%
Lyon 33.99%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.86%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.19%
Under 1.5 25.81%
Over 2.5 50.21%
Under 2.5 49.79%
Over 3.5 28.44%
Under 3.5 71.56%
Over 4.5 15.76%
Under 4.5 84.24%

First Half Winner

Paris FC 28.62%
Draw 45.45%
Lyon 25.93%

Team To Score First

Paris FC 47.79%
No Goal 7.41%
Lyon 44.8%

Corners

Over 8 58.04%
Equal 8 11.9%
Under 8 30.06%
Over 9 45.88%
Equal 9 12.16%
Under 9 41.96%
Over 10.5 34.54%
Under 10.5 65.46%

Paris FC Goals

Over 1.5 39.09%
Under 1.5 60.91%
Over 2.5 15.82%
Under 2.5 84.18%
Over 3.5 5.13%
Under 3.5 94.87%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 68.17%
Under 0.5 31.83%
Over 1.5 34.83%
Under 1.5 65.17%
Over 2.5 13.49%
Under 2.5 86.51%
Over 3.5 4.23%
Under 3.5 95.77%

Score analysis

Paris FC 39.72%
Draw 26.29%
Lyon 33.99%
Paris FC
1-0 @ 9.88%
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 6.43%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.69%
Other @ 5.11%
Total : 39.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 7.41%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 26.29%
Lyon
0-1 @ 8.52%
1-2 @ 7.81%
0-2 @ 5.34%
1-3 @ 3.33%
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 2.2%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 33.99%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Groupama Stadium
  • Roman Yaremchuk 58' yellowcard
  • Corentin Tolisso 58' yellowcard
  • Endrick 65' yellowcard
  • Noah Nartey 65' yellowcard
  • Adil Hamdani 82' yellowcard
  • Corentin Tolisso 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Marshall Munetsi 63'
  • yellowcard Ciro Immobile 73'
  • yellowcard Luca Koleosho 73'
  • yellowcard Alimami Gory 73'
  • yellowcard Vincent Marchetti 87'
  • yellowcard Tuomas Ollila 90'+1'
Ligue 1
Oct 29, 2025 8.05pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT