Europa League Gameweek 1
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Lotto Park
  • Mihajlo Cvetkovic 61' goal
  • goal Noah Nartey 8'
  • goal Keito Nakamura 22'
  • yellowcard Moussa Niakhaté 26'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Ouédraogo 44'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Ouedraogo 44'

Anderlecht vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Anderlecht

All competitions

Lyon

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Anderlecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (8.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Anderlecht 43.36% ▼ (-0.35)
Draw 26.9% ▲ (+1.31)
Lyon 29.71% ▼ (-1.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.82% ▼ (-3.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.25% ▼ (-3.72)
Under 1.5 27.75% ▲ (+3.72)
Over 2.5 48.34% ▼ (-4.58)
Under 2.5 51.66% ▲ (+4.58)
Over 3.5 27.18% ▼ (-4.02)
Under 3.5 72.82% ▲ (+4.01)
Over 4.5 15.4% ▼ (-2.69)
Under 4.5 84.6% ▲ (+2.69)

First Half Winner

Anderlecht 36.53% ▲ (+1.61)
Draw 39.91% ▲ (+0.55)
Lyon 23.56% ▼ (-2.16)

Team To Score First

Anderlecht 54.16% ▲ (+1.12)
No Goal 8.48% ▲ (+1.66)
Lyon 37.36% ▼ (-2.79)

Corners

Over 8 55.35% ▲ (+0.82)
Equal 8 11.26% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 8 33.39% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 9 44.1% ▲ (+0.86)
Equal 9 11.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 44.65% ▼ (-0.82)
Over 10.5 33.73% ▲ (+0.81)
Under 10.5 66.27% ▼ (-0.82)

Anderlecht Goals

Over 1.5 41.18% ▼ (-2.57)
Under 1.5 58.82% ▲ (+2.57)
Over 2.5 17.96% ▼ (-1.85)
Under 2.5 82.04% ▲ (+1.86)
Over 3.5 6.65% ▼ (-0.79)
Under 3.5 93.35% ▲ (+0.79)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 63.36% ▼ (-2.49)
Under 0.5 36.64% ▲ (+2.50)
Over 1.5 29.88% ▼ (-3.13)
Under 1.5 70.12% ▲ (+3.13)
Over 2.5 11.26% ▼ (-2.08)
Under 2.5 88.74% ▲ (+2.08)
Over 3.5 3.44% ▼ (-0.85)
Under 3.5 96.56% ▲ (+0.85)

Score analysis

Anderlecht 43.37%
Draw 26.9%
Lyon 29.71%
Anderlecht
1-0 @ 10.62% ▲ (+1.04)
2-1 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.23)
2-0 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.40)
3-1 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.47)
3-0 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.43)
Other @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.73)
Total : 43.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% ▲ (+0.35)
0-0 @ 8.48% ▲ (+1.66)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.42)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 0.22% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 26.9%
Lyon
0-1 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.98)
1-2 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.34)
0-2 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.46)
0-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.48)
Other @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.77)
Total : 29.71%