Europa League Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2026 8.00pm
PreZero Arena

Hoffenheim vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Lyon

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Anderlecht 1 - 2 Lyon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Lyon has a probability of 35.37% and a draw has a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Lyon win is 1-2 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.47%).

Result

Hoffenheim 40.61% ▲ (+0.33)
Draw 24.03% ▲ (+0.07)
Lyon 35.37% ▼ (-0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.19% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.58% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 19.42% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 59.22% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 40.78% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 38.16% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 61.84% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 23.24% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 76.76% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Hoffenheim 32.28% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 38.47%
Lyon 29.26% ▲ (+0.12)

Team To Score First

Hoffenheim 48.97% ▼ (-0.19)
No Goal 5.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Lyon 45.96% ▲ (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 56.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 8 10.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 32.85% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 9 45.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 43.76% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 10.5 35% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 65% ▲ (+0.04)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 1.5 44.59% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 55.41% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 2.5 21.28% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 78.72% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 8.23% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 91.77% ▼ (-0.08)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 70.67% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 0.5 29.33% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 1.5 40.63% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 59.37% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 2.5 18.02% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 81.98% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 6.97% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 93.03% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Hoffenheim 40.61%
Draw 24.02%
Lyon 35.37%
Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.12% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.59%
3-0 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 40.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.47% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.02%
Lyon
1-2 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 35.37%

Head to Head

Europa League
Nov 7, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT DnB NOR Arena
  • Anton Stach 6' yellowcard
  • Valentin Gendrey 47' goal
  • Arthur Chaves 79' yellowcard
  • Umut Tohumcu 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Clinton Mata 10'
  • goal Abner Vinicius 66'
  • goal Alexandre Lacazette 90'+4'
Champions League Gameweek 4
Nov 7, 2018 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jason Denayer 6' yellowcard
  • Nabil Fekir 19' goal
  • Tanguy Ndombele 28' goal
  • Jeremy Morel 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kasim Nuhu 19'
  • yellowcard Florian Grillitsch 43'
  • yellowcard Ermin Bicakcic 48'
  • redcard Kasim Nuhu 51'
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 65'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vogt 72'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 72'
  • goal Pavel Kaderabek 90'
Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 23, 2018 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Andrej Kramaric 33' goal
  • Andrej Kramaric 47' goal
  • Joelinton 90' goal
  • Kerem Demirbay 90' yellowcard
  • goal Bertrand Traore 27'
  • goal Tanguy Ndombele 59'
  • goal Memphis Depay 67'
  • yellowcard Kenny Tete 86'