Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2026 6.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Home Deluxe Arena
  • Santiago Castañeda 29' goal
  • Stefano Marino 42' goal
  • Steffen Tigges 69' goal
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 45'
  • goal Adam Daghim 50'

SC Paderborn vs Hoffenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Paderborn

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 2.30pm
Dortmund 3 - 0 SC Paderborn
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Santiago Castañeda

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 2.30pm
Hoffenheim 2 - 1 Stuttgart
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Adam Daghim

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 38.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.09%) and 0-2 (4.51%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 2-1 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

SC Paderborn 38.48% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 22.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Hoffenheim 39.11%

Both Teams to Score: 

68.06% ▲ (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.7% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 13.3% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 68.97% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 31.03% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 3.5 46.83% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 3.5 53.17% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 4.5 30.62% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 4.5 69.38% ▼ (-0.25)

First Half Winner

SC Paderborn 30.29%
Draw 35.38%
Hoffenheim 34.32%

Team To Score First

SC Paderborn 48.76% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 3.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Hoffenheim 47.95% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 64.14%
Equal 8 10.15%
Under 8 25.71%
Over 9 53.28%
Equal 9 10.87%
Under 9 35.86%
Over 10.5 42.55%
Under 10.5 57.45%

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 1.5 47.75% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 52.25% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 24% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 76% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 9.82% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 90.18% ▼ (-0.10)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 75.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 24.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 48.45% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 51.55% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 24.46% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 75.54% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 10.71% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 89.29% ▼ (-0.09)

Score analysis

SC Paderborn 38.49%
Draw 22.41%
Hoffenheim 39.11%
SC Paderborn
2-1 @ 8.28% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.87%
Other @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 38.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 22.41%
Hoffenheim
1-2 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 10.16% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 39.11%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 27
May 23, 2020 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Benteler-Arena
  • Dennis Srbeny 9' goal
  • Sebastian Vasiliadis 32' yellowcard
  • Klaus Gjasula 61' yellowcard
  • Dennis Srbeny 67' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Skov 4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Nov 1, 2019 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)
  • Robert Skov 2' goal
  • Pavel Kaderabek 15' goal
  • Jurgen Locadia 25' goal
  • yellowcard Streli Mamba 54'
Bundesliga
Mar 21, 2015 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Ermin Bicakcic 55'
  • redcard Ermin Bicakcic 65'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Rudy 83'
  • yellowcard Anthony Modeste 91'
Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2014 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kevin Volland 74' goal
  • Sven Schipplock 85' yellowcard
  • Kevin Volland 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Heinloth 80'
  • yellowcard Idir Ouali 82'
  • yellowcard Elias Kachunga 87'