Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2026 6.30pm
Home Deluxe Arena

SC Paderborn vs Hoffenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Paderborn

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 2.30pm
Dortmund 3 - 0 SC Paderborn

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 2.30pm
Hoffenheim 2 - 1 Stuttgart
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Adam Hlozek

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for SC Paderborn has a probability of 38.54% and a draw has a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win is 1-2 with a probability of 7.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (5.36%) and 0-2 (4.7%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win is 2-1 (8.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.64%).

Result

SC Paderborn 38.54% (+0.01)
Draw 21.99% (-0.42)
Hoffenheim 39.51% (+0.48)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.32% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.06% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 13.94% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 68.16%
Under 2.5 31.84%
Over 3.5 46.86% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 53.14% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 30.94% (+0.36)
Under 4.5 69.06% (-0.35)

First Half Winner

SC Paderborn 32.2% (-0.24)
Draw 36.24% (+1.77)
Hoffenheim 31.56% (-1.54)

Team To Score First

SC Paderborn 51.99%
No Goal 3.49% (-0.08)
Hoffenheim 44.52% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 68.04% (-2.18)
Equal 8 9.76% (-0.17)
Under 8 22.2% (+2.36)
Over 9 57.25% (-1.73)
Equal 9 10.78% (-0.48)
Under 9 31.96% (+2.20)
Over 10.5 46.29% (-1.08)
Under 10.5 53.71% (+1.08)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 1.5 47.19% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 52.81% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 23.75% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 76.25% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 9.69% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.31% (+0.02)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 74.93% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.07% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 48.35% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 51.65% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 24.64% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 75.36% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 10.9% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 89.1% (-0.30)

Score analysis

SC Paderborn 38.54%
Draw 21.99%
Hoffenheim 39.52%
SC Paderborn
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.12)
1-0 @ 5.14% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.55% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 4.33% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.13)
Other @ 9.27% (+0.05)
Total : 38.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.64% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 6.93%
0-0 @ 3.49% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 2.51% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.42% (-0.08)
Total : 21.99%
Hoffenheim
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.09)
0-1 @ 5.36% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.7% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.45%
2-3 @ 3.93% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 2.85% (+0.03)
Other @ 10.48% (+0.37)
Total : 39.52%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 27
May 23, 2020 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Benteler-Arena
  • Dennis Srbeny 9' goal
  • Sebastian Vasiliadis 32' yellowcard
  • Klaus Gjasula 61' yellowcard
  • Dennis Srbeny 67' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Skov 4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Nov 1, 2019 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)
  • Robert Skov 2' goal
  • Pavel Kaderabek 15' goal
  • Jurgen Locadia 25' goal
  • yellowcard Streli Mamba 54'
Bundesliga
Mar 21, 2015 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Ermin Bicakcic 55'
  • redcard Ermin Bicakcic 65'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Rudy 83'
  • yellowcard Anthony Modeste 91'
Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2014 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kevin Volland 74' goal
  • Sven Schipplock 85' yellowcard
  • Kevin Volland 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Heinloth 80'
  • yellowcard Idir Ouali 82'
  • yellowcard Elias Kachunga 87'