DFB-Pokal
Aug 22, 2026 2.30pm
Erzgebirgsstadion

Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Erzgebirge Aue

All competitions

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue has a probability of 29.07% and a draw has a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (5.32%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win is 2-1 (6.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.94%).

Result

Erzgebirge Aue 29.07%
Draw 21.35%
Hoffenheim 49.58%

Both Teams to Score: 

67.97%

Goals

Over 1.5 87.21% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 12.79% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 70.97%
Under 2.5 29.03%
Over 3.5 49.64%
Under 3.5 50.36%
Over 4.5 34.25%
Under 4.5 65.75%

First Half Winner

Erzgebirge Aue 32.05%
Draw 31.26%
Hoffenheim 36.7%

Team To Score First

Erzgebirge Aue 43.39%
No Goal 3.64%
Hoffenheim 52.97%

Corners

Over 8 62.37%
Equal 8 10.14%
Under 8 27.48%
Over 9 51.66%
Equal 9 10.71%
Under 9 37.63%
Over 10.5 41.2%
Under 10.5 58.8%

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 1.5 38.78% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 61.22% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 18.38%
Under 2.5 81.62%
Over 3.5 7.25%
Under 3.5 92.75%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 80.65% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 19.35% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 57.72% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 42.28% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 33.69%
Under 2.5 66.31%
Over 3.5 17.74%
Under 3.5 82.26%

Score analysis

Erzgebirge Aue 29.05%
Draw 21.35%
Hoffenheim 49.58%
Erzgebirge Aue
2-1 @ 6.6%
1-0 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 3.57%
3-1 @ 3.19%
2-0 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.02%
Other @ 6.7%
Total : 29.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.94%
2-2 @ 6.87% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.64%
3-3 @ 2.35%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 21.35%
Hoffenheim
1-2 @ 8.32%
1-3 @ 5.32%
0-2 @ 5.27%
0-1 @ 5.2%
0-3 @ 4.39%
2-3 @ 3.89%
Other @ 17.19%
Total : 49.58%