Club Friendlies 3
Jul 29, 2026 5.00pm
Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion

Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 2.30pm
SGV Freiberg 0 - 3 Hoffenheim

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 2.00pm
Mainz 3 - 0 Holstein Kiel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 55.97%. A win for Holstein Kiel has a probability of 22.1% and a draw has a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win is 1-2 (6.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.89%).

Result

Hoffenheim 55.97% (-0.29)
Draw 21.99% (+0.11)
Holstein Kiel 22.1% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.37% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.54% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 17.46% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 61.97% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 38.03% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 38.95% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 61.05% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 24.28% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 75.72% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Hoffenheim 43.37% (+0.06)
Draw 36.31% (-0.16)
Holstein Kiel 20.32% (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Hoffenheim 60.06% (-0.27)
No Goal 4.6% (+0.07)
Holstein Kiel 35.34% (+0.21)

Corners

Over 8 67.2% (-0.29)
Equal 8 10.68% (+0.05)
Under 8 22.12% (+0.24)
Over 9 55.4% (-0.33)
Equal 9 11.8% (+0.04)
Under 9 32.8% (+0.28)
Over 10.5 43.56% (-0.31)
Under 10.5 56.44% (+0.31)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 1.5 57.47% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 42.53% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 31.27% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 68.73% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 13.53% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 86.47% (+0.10)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 60.51% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 39.49% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 29.05% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 70.95% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 10.38% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 89.62% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.09% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.91% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Hoffenheim 55.97%
Draw 22%
Holstein Kiel 22.1%
Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 10.21% (-0.09)
1-0 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 8.08%
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 5.41% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 4.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 13.3% (-0.07)
Total : 55.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.89% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.75% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.6% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23% (-0.02)
Total : 22%
Holstein Kiel
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 4.76% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 2.6% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.32% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.16% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 22.1%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Magnus Knudsen 53' yellowcard
  • Andu Yobel Kelati 84' goal
  • Timon Weiner 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arthur Chaves 23'
  • goal Adam Hlozek 26'
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 45'+1'
  • goal Adam Hlozek 56'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 24, 2024 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Campo La Quinta
  • Andrej Kramaric 6' goal
  • Adam Hlozek 14' yellowcard
  • Andrej Kramaric 37' goal
  • Andrej Kramaric 87' goal
  • Max Moerstedt 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Timon Weiner 5'
  • goal Alexander Bernhardsson 63'
  • yellowcard Andu Yobel Kelati 81'
  • redcard Andu Yobel Kelati 82'
  • goal Shuto Machino 89'
DFB-Pokal
Oct 26, 2021 5.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Johannes van den Bergh 3' goal
  • Hauke Wahl 31' goal
  • Kevin Akpoguma 46' yellowcard
  • Angelo Stiller 59' goal
  • Moanes Dabour 72' goal
  • Jacob Bruun Larsen 84' goal
  • goal Phil Neumann 47'
  • yellowcard Simon Lorenz 68'