Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Wasen-Stadion
  • goal Tim Lemperle 32'
  • goal Mats Rots 48'
  • goal Deniz Zeitler 76'

SGV Freiberg vs Hoffenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

SGV Freiberg

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 1.00pm
SGV Freiberg 0 - 0 Hoffenheim II

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Mar 26, 2026 1.00pm
Hoffenheim 3 - 5 Elversberg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 65.64%. A draw had a probability of 17.77% and a win for SGV Freiberg had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.64%) and 0-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%) , while for a SGV Freiberg win it was 2-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

SGV Freiberg 16.54%
Draw 17.77%
Hoffenheim 65.64%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.68%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.6% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 16.4% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 64.73% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 35.27% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 42.77% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 57.23%
Over 4.5 30.36% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 69.64% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

SGV Freiberg 16.31%
Draw 38.66% (-0.02)
Hoffenheim 45.02%

Team To Score First

SGV Freiberg 30.11%
No Goal 4.17%
Hoffenheim 65.72%

Corners

Over 8 48.99% (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.89%
Under 8 39.11% (+0.05)
Over 9 37.69% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.3% (-0.01)
Under 9 51.01% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 27.8% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 72.2% (+0.04)

SGV Freiberg Goals

Over 1.5 22.07%
Under 1.5 77.93%
Over 2.5 6.9%
Under 2.5 93.1%
Over 3.5 2.17%
Under 3.5 97.83%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 86.99% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 13.01% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 64.18% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 35.82% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 40.07% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 59.93% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 21.88%
Under 3.5 78.12%

Score analysis

SGV Freiberg 16.52%
Draw 17.78%
Hoffenheim 65.64%
SGV Freiberg
2-1 @ 4.83% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 3.73%
2-0 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.49% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 16.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.12%
2-2 @ 4.44%
0-0 @ 4.17%
3-3 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 17.78%
Hoffenheim
1-2 @ 9.54% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.64%
0-1 @ 8.44%
0-3 @ 6.81% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 6.55% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.79% (+0.02)
Other @ 21.87%
Total : 65.64%