Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 2.30pm
Wasen-Stadion

SGV Freiberg vs Hoffenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

SGV Freiberg

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 1.00pm
SGV Freiberg 0 - 0 Hoffenheim II

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Mar 26, 2026 1.00pm
Hoffenheim 3 - 5 Elversberg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 65.64%. A draw has a probability of 17.77% and a win for SGV Freiberg has a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.64%) and 0-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.12%) , while for a SGV Freiberg win it is 2-1 (4.84%).

Result

SGV Freiberg 16.54% (-0.09)
Draw 17.77% (-0.04)
Hoffenheim 65.64% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.68% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.61% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 16.39% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 64.72% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 35.28% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 42.72%
Under 3.5 57.23% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 30.33% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 69.67% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

SGV Freiberg 16.31% (-0.02)
Draw 38.67% (+0.02)
Hoffenheim 45.02%

Team To Score First

SGV Freiberg 30.11% (-0.13)
No Goal 4.17% (-0.03)
Hoffenheim 65.72% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 49.04% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.89% (-0.01)
Under 8 39.06% (+0.03)
Over 9 37.74% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.31%
Under 9 50.96% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 27.83% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 72.17% (+0.02)

SGV Freiberg Goals

Over 1.5 22.07% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 77.93% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 6.9% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.1% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.17% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.83% (+0.02)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 86.98% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 13.02% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 64.16% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 35.84% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 40.05% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 59.95% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 21.88% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 78.12% (-0.08)

Score analysis

SGV Freiberg 16.54%
Draw 17.77%
Hoffenheim 65.64%
SGV Freiberg
2-1 @ 4.84% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 3.73% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 2.11% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.42% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.16% (-0.03)
Total : 16.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.12% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.17% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 17.77%
Hoffenheim
1-2 @ 9.55%
0-2 @ 8.64%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.82% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 6.54% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.78% (-0.02)
Other @ 21.87% (+0.09)
Total : 65.64%