Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Dortmund
Sep 12, 2026 2.30pm
Signal Iduna Park
SC Paderborn

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 2.30pm
Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Dortmund
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

SC Paderborn

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 2.30pm
SC Paderborn 0 - 1 Freiburg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw has a probability of 22.76% and a win for SC Paderborn has a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.39%) , while for a SC Paderborn win it is 0-1 (4.99%).

Result

Borussia Dortmund 57.9% ▼ (-0.47)
Draw 22.76% ▲ (+0.55)
SC Paderborn 19.34% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.56% ▼ (-0.34)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.34% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 23.66% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 2.5 54.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 45.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 33.36% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 3.5 66.64% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 4.5 21.02% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 4.5 78.98% ▼ (-0.27)

First Half Winner

Borussia Dortmund 40.7% ▼ (-2.88)
Draw 37.81% ▲ (+2.07)
SC Paderborn 21.49% ▲ (+0.82)

Team To Score First

Borussia Dortmund 60.82% ▼ (-1.33)
No Goal 6.95% ▲ (+0.26)
SC Paderborn 32.23% ▲ (+1.06)

Corners

Over 8 59.11% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.17% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 8 29.72% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 9 47.61% ▲ (+0.50)
Equal 9 11.5% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 9 40.89% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 10.5 36.74% ▲ (+0.99)
Under 10.5 63.27% ▼ (-0.97)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 1.5 54.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 45.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 28.21%
Under 2.5 71.79%
Over 3.5 12.18% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 3.5 87.82% ▼ (-0.28)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5 53.27% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 0.5 46.73% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 1.5 24.13% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 1.5 75.87% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 2.5 8.37% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 2.5 91.63% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 3.5 2.93% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 3.5 97.07% ▼ (-0.27)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 57.9%
Draw 22.76%
SC Paderborn 19.33%
Borussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 11.71% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 10.07% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.32)
3-0 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 11.95% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 57.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.39% ▼ (-0.20)
0-0 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.26)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.26)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.23% ▲ (+0.16)
Total : 22.76%
SC Paderborn
0-1 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.13)
1-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 19.33%

Head to Head

DFB-Pokal
Dortmund
Feb 2, 2021 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
ET Signal-Iduna-Park
SC Paderborn
  • Emre Can 6' goal
  • Jadon Sancho 16' goal
  • Thomas Delaney 77' yellowcard
  • Erling Braut Haaland 95' goal
  • Mahmoud Dahoud 120'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dennis Srbeny 51'
  • yellowcard Svante Ingelsson 52'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Schonlau 75'
  • goal Julian Justvan 79'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Christopher Antwi-Adjej 104'
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
SC Paderborn
May 31, 2020 5.00pm
1
6
HT : 0 0
FT Benteler-Arena
Dortmund
  • Jamilu Collins 60' yellowcard
  • Uwe Hunemeier 72' goal
  • Mohamed Drager 82' yellowcard
  • goal Thorgan Hazard 54'
  • goal Jadon Sancho 57'
  • yellowcard Jadon Sancho 58'
  • yellowcard Emre Can 71'
  • goal Jadon Sancho 74'
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 76'
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 85'
  • goal Marcel Schmelzer 89'
  • goal Jadon Sancho 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Dortmund
Nov 22, 2019 7.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 3
FT Signal-Iduna-Park (Dortmund)
SC Paderborn
  • Mats Hummels 28' yellowcard
  • Jadon Sancho 47' goal
  • Julian Weigl 74' yellowcard
  • Axel Witsel 84' goal
  • Achraf Hakimi 84' yellowcard
  • Marco Reus 92' goal
  • goal Streli Mamba 5'
  • goal Streli Mamba 37'
  • goal Gerrit Holtmann 43'
  • yellowcard Jamilu Collins 84'
DFB-Pokal
Dortmund
Oct 28, 2015 6.00pm
7
1
HT : 3 1
FT
SC Paderborn
  • Adrian Ramos 25' goal
  • Gonzalo Castro 30' goal
  • Shinji Kagawa 43' goal
  • Ilkay Gundogan 55' goal
  • Gonzalo Castro 58' goal
  • Lukas Piszczek 87' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 89' goal
  • goal Srdjan Lakic 21'
  • yellowcard Dominik Wydra 84'
Bundesliga
Dortmund
Apr 18, 2015 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
SC Paderborn
  • Mats Hummels 7' yellowcard
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 48' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 55' goal
  • Shinji Kagawa 80' goal
Bundesliga
SC Paderborn
Nov 22, 2014 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Dortmund
  • Lukas Rupp 60' goal
  • Marvin Bakalorz 64' yellowcard
  • Florian Hartherz 76' yellowcard
  • Mahir Saglik 81' goal
  • Mahir Saglik 85' yellowcard
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 12'
  • goal Marco Reus 45'
  • yellowcard Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 84'

Form Data

Dortmund 3 - 2 Villarreal
Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Dortmund
HEBC 0 - 5 Dortmund
Dortmund 2 - 0 Hamburger SV
Dortmund 1 - 2 Bayern
Dortmund 2 - 2 Roma
SC Paderborn 0 - 1 Freiburg
Mainz 0 - 0 SC Paderborn
Phonix Lubeck 2 - 4 SC Paderborn
Werder Bremen 0 - 0 SC Paderborn
Werder Bremen 0 - 0 SC Paderborn
Osnabruck 0 - 2 SC Paderborn