Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Hoffenheim
Oct 10, 2026 2.30pm
PreZero Arena
Hamburger SV

Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 6.30pm
SC Paderborn 3 - 1 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Adam Daghim

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 2.30pm
Hamburger SV 2 - 1 FC Koln
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Nicolás Capaldo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Hamburger SV has a probability of 26.95% and a draw has a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.54%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win is 1-2 (6.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.08%).

Result

Hoffenheim 51.34% ▲ (+0.81)
Draw 21.75% ▼ (-0.81)
Hamburger SV 26.95% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.26% ▲ (+0.63)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.79% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 1.5 15.21% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 2.5 66.26% ▲ (+1.50)
Under 2.5 33.74% ▼ (-1.49)
Over 3.5 44.48% ▲ (+1.99)
Under 3.5 55.52% ▼ (-1.99)
Over 4.5 28.86% ▲ (+2.16)
Under 4.5 71.14% ▼ (-2.16)

First Half Winner

Hoffenheim 39.47% ▼ (-0.74)
Draw 37.82% ▲ (+2.08)
Hamburger SV 22.7% ▼ (-1.36)

Team To Score First

Hoffenheim 55.88% ▼ (-3.86)
No Goal 3.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Hamburger SV 40.2% ▲ (+3.84)

Corners

Over 8 65.13% ▲ (+1.85)
Equal 8 10.18% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 8 24.69% ▼ (-1.64)
Over 9 54.16% ▲ (+1.88)
Equal 9 10.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 34.87% ▼ (-1.86)
Over 10.5 43.26% ▲ (+1.72)
Under 10.5 56.74% ▼ (-1.72)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 1.5 56.54% ▲ (+1.12)
Under 1.5 43.46% ▼ (-1.12)
Over 2.5 31.58% ▲ (+1.57)
Under 2.5 68.42% ▼ (-1.57)
Over 3.5 14.79% ▲ (+1.18)
Under 3.5 85.21% ▼ (-1.19)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5 64.56% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 0.5 35.44% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 1.5 35.37% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 1.5 64.63% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 2.5 14.71% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 2.5 85.29% ▼ (-0.51)
Over 3.5 5.26% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 3.5 94.74% ▼ (-0.36)

Score analysis

Hoffenheim 51.34%
Draw 21.76%
Hamburger SV 26.95%
Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.19)
1-0 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.33)
2-0 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.29)
3-1 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.46)
3-0 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 14.35% ▲ (+1.19)
Total : 51.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.67)
2-2 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 21.76%
Hamburger SV
1-2 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.29)
0-1 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.15)
0-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.38)
Total : 26.95%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Apr 25, 2026 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Volksparkstadion
Hoffenheim
  • Robert Glatzel 34' yellowcard
  • Otto Stange 64' yellowcard
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 75' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Gocholeishvili 75' yellowcard
  • Damion Downs 88' yellowcard
  • Rayan Philippe 88' yellowcard
  • goal Fisnik Asllani 18'
  • goal Tim Lemperle 45'
  • yellowcard Bernardo 45'
  • yellowcard Bernardo 46'
  • yellowcard Grischa Prömel 64'
  • yellowcard Alexander Prass 75'
  • yellowcard Cole Campbell 85'
  • yellowcard Max Moerstedt 85'
  • yellowcard Max Moerstedt 86'
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
Dec 13, 2025 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Hamburger SV
  • Grischa Promel 8' goal
  • Ozan Kabak 31' goal
  • Tim Lemperle 65' goal
  • Fisnik Asllani 72' goal
  • Grischa Promel 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ransford Konigsdorffer 29'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Capaldo 65'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Capaldo 67'
  • yellowcard Albert Sambi Lokonga 77'
  • goal Rayan Philippe 82'
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
Apr 14, 2018 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena (Sinsheim)
Hamburger SV
  • Serge Gnabry 18' goal
  • Adam Szalai 27' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas Santos 51'
  • yellowcard Gideon Jung 85'
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Nov 26, 2017 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)
Hoffenheim
  • Kevin Akpoguma 6' goal
  • Filip Kostic 75' goal
  • Gideon Jung 88' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Vogt 29'
  • yellowcard Mark Uth 61'
  • yellowcard Florian Grillitsch 74'
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Apr 8, 2017 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Hoffenheim
  • Aaron Hunt 25' goal
  • Filip Kostic 40' yellowcard
  • Walace Souza Silva 51' yellowcard
  • Kyriakos Papadopoulos 68' yellowcard
  • Aaron Hunt 75' goal
  • Dennis Diekmeier 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Rudy 32'
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 35'
  • yellowcard Andrej Kramaric 36'
  • yellowcard Steven Zuber 62'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Hubner 82'
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
Nov 20, 2016 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Hamburger SV
  • Ermin Bicakcic 40' yellowcard
  • Sandro Wagner 45' goal
  • Steven Zuber 49' goal
  • yellowcard Gotoku Sakai 16'
  • goal Filip Kostic 28'
  • yellowcard Nicolai Muller 42'
  • goal Nicolai Muller 61'

Form Data

SC Paderborn 3 - 1 Hoffenheim
OFI Crete 2 - 0 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 2 - 1 Stuttgart
Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Dortmund
FC Koln 3 - 2 Hoffenheim
Erzgebirge Aue 0 - 4 Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV 2 - 1 FC Koln
RB Leipzig 5 - 0 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV 0 - 5 Mainz
Dortmund 2 - 0 Hamburger SV
Verl 0 - 3 Hamburger SV
Toulouse 1 - 2 Hamburger SV