Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 19, 2026 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Volksparkstadion
  • Albert Grønbæk 10' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Capaldo 44' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen  49' goal
  • Jordan Torunarigha 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gideon Mensah 54'
  • yellowcard Ísak Jóhannesson 77'
  • yellowcard Ellyes Skhiri 84'
  • yellowcard Ellyes Skhiri 85'
  • goal Ragnar Ache 90'

Hamburger SV vs FC Koln - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 5 - 0 Hamburger SV
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Nicolás Capaldo

FC Koln

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 5.30pm
FC Koln 1 - 1 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Thijs Dallinga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (8.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Hamburger SV 39.7% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 26.18% ▲ (+0.15)
FC Koln 34.15% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.97% ▼ (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.68% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 25.32% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 51.31% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 48.69% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 29.79% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 70.21% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 16.73% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 4.5 83.27% ▲ (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Hamburger SV 29.47% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 39.05% ▲ (+0.17)
FC Koln 31.48% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Hamburger SV 45.82% ▲ (+0.18)
No Goal 7.45% ▲ (+0.07)
FC Koln 46.73% ▼ (-0.25)

Corners

Over 8 61.84% ▼ (-0.26)
Equal 8 10.77%
Under 8 27.39% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 9 50.51% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 9 11.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 38.16% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 10.5 39.57% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 10.5 60.43% ▲ (+0.19)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 1.5 39.59% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 60.41% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 16.45% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 83.55% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 5.44% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.56% ▲ (+0.05)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5 67.68%
Under 0.5 32.32%
Over 1.5 35.63% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 64.37% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 14.78% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 85.22% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 5.24% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 94.76% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Hamburger SV 39.7%
Draw 26.18%
FC Koln 34.16%
Hamburger SV
1-0 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 39.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 26.18%
FC Koln
0-1 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 34.16%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Mar 14, 2026 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Volksparkstadion
  • Fábio Vieira 39' goal
  • Jean-Luc Dompé 66' yellowcard
  • Otto Stange 67' yellowcard
  • Jean-Luc Dompé 67' yellowcard
  • Daniel Elfadli 79' yellowcard
  • Fabio Baldé 79' yellowcard
  • Philip Otele 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Said El Mala 45'
  • yellowcard Linton Maina 46'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Sebulonsen 74'
  • yellowcard Marius Bülter 74'
  • yellowcard Felipe Chavez 84'
  • yellowcard Florian Kainz 90'+1'
Bundesliga
Nov 2, 2025 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Volksparkstadion
  • Manuel Pherai 13' yellowcard
  • Ransford Konigsdorffer 78' goal
  • Daniel Elfadli 84' yellowcard
  • William Mikelbrencis 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jusuf Gazibegovic 6'
  • yellowcard Gian-Luca Waldschmidt 55'
  • yellowcard Timo Hubers 73'
  • yellowcard Max Finkgrafe 77'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2024 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT RheinEnergieStadion
  • Tim Lemperle 39' yellowcard
  • Steffen Baumgart 69' yellowcard
  • Linton Maina 78' goal
  • goal Ransford Konigsdorffer 6'
  • goal Ransford Konigsdorffer 35'
  • yellowcard Steffen Baumgart 40'
  • yellowcard Miro Muheim 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Julian Andreas Pauli 86'
DFB-Pokal
Jan 18, 2022 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET
  • Jonas Hector 43' yellowcard
  • Kingsley Schindler 76' yellowcard
  • Timo Hubers 82' yellowcard
  • Anthony Modeste 120'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Ludovit Reis 90'
  • goal Robert Glatzel 92'
  • yellowcard Tim Walter 105'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Schonlau 120'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 15, 2019 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT RheinEnergieStadion (Köln)
  • Dominick Drexler 26' goal
  • Simon Terodde 38' yellowcard
  • Florian Kainz 47' yellowcard
  • Jonas Hector 66' yellowcard
  • Jorge Mere 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gideon Jung 49'
  • yellowcard Rick van Drongelen 56'
  • goal Manuel Wintzheimer 85'
  • yellowcard Manuel Wintzheimer 87'