La Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 24, 2026 5.30pm
Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 8.00pm
Valencia 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Umar Sadiq

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 3.15pm
Villarreal 0 - 0 Elche
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Pape Gueye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Valencia has a probability of 33.82% and a draw has a probability of 26.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Valencia win is 1-0 (8.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.3%).

Result

Valencia 33.82% ▲ (+3.22)
Draw 26.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Villarreal 39.66% ▼ (-3.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.36% ▲ (+0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.53% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 24.47% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 52.01% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 2.5 47.99% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 3.5 28.86% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 71.11% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 15.83% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 4.5 84.17% ▼ (-0.29)

First Half Winner

Valencia 28.77% ▲ (+3.52)
Draw 45.35% ▼ (-0.40)
Villarreal 25.88% ▼ (-3.13)

Team To Score First

Valencia 47.99% ▲ (+3.32)
No Goal 6.86% ▲ (+0.05)
Villarreal 45.15% ▼ (-3.36)

Corners

Over 8 54.31% ▼ (-0.65)
Equal 8 11.74% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 8 33.95% ▲ (+0.39)
Over 9 42.67% ▼ (-0.83)
Equal 9 11.64% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 9 45.69% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 10.5 32.06% ▼ (-0.94)
Under 10.5 67.94% ▲ (+0.94)

Valencia Goals

Over 1.5 35.15% ▲ (+2.77)
Under 1.5 64.85% ▼ (-2.78)
Over 2.5 13.43% ▲ (+1.68)
Under 2.5 86.57% ▼ (-1.69)
Over 3.5 3.99% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 3.5 96.01% ▼ (-0.68)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 73.21% ▼ (-2.08)
Under 0.5 26.79% ▲ (+2.08)
Over 1.5 40.38% ▼ (-2.37)
Under 1.5 59.62% ▲ (+2.37)
Over 2.5 16.92% ▼ (-1.40)
Under 2.5 83.08% ▲ (+1.40)
Over 3.5 5.87% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 3.5 94.13% ▲ (+0.57)

Score analysis

Valencia 33.82%
Draw 26.48%
Villarreal 39.68%
Valencia
1-0 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.35)
2-1 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.69)
2-0 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.53)
3-1 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.32)
3-0 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.48)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.67)
Total : 33.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.48%
Villarreal
0-1 @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.68)
1-2 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.37)
0-2 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.75)
1-3 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.45)
0-3 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.36)
2-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.58)
Total : 39.68%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 25
Feb 22, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de la Cerámica
  • Santi Comesaña 31' goal
  • Pape Gueye 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Thomas Partey 58' yellowcard
  • Tajon Buchanan 70' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Pedraza 70' yellowcard
  • 70' yellowcard
  • Alfon González 83' yellowcard
  • Dani Parejo 83' yellowcard
  • Alfon González 84' yellowcard
  • Dani Parejo 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Largie Ramazani 27'
  • yellowcard Arnaut Danjuma 70'
  • yellowcard Thierry Correia 70'
  • yellowcard 70'
  • yellowcard Thierry Correia 71'
  • yellowcard Jesús Vázquez 78'
  • yellowcard Hugo Duro 78'
  • yellowcard André Almeida 88'
La Liga
Oct 25, 2025 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Pape Gueye 32' goal
  • yellowcard Diego Lopez 47'
  • yellowcard Jose Gaya 48'
  • goal Umar Sadiq 84'
  • yellowcard Pepelu 87'
  • yellowcard Umar Sadiq 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Fran Perez 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Hugo Duro 24' goal
  • Hugo Duro 39' yellowcard
  • Pepelu 51' yellowcard
  • Hugo Guillamon 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yeremy Pino 42'
  • goal Ayoze Perez 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Pape Gueye 50'
  • redcard Pape Gueye 68'
  • yellowcard Kiko Femenia 77'
  • yellowcard Raul Albiol 83'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Kiko Femenia 12' yellowcard
  • Francis Coquelin 35' yellowcard
  • Alex Baena 41' yellowcard
  • Jorge Cuenca 52' yellowcard
  • Jorge Cuenca 54' goal
  • Aissa Mandi 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cenk Ozkacar 36'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 2, 2024 8.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Roman Yaremchuk 4' goal
  • Pepelu 27' goal
  • Pepelu 57' goal
  • Jose Gaya 63' yellowcard
  • Diego Lopez 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eric Bailly 37'
  • yellowcard Marcelino 38'
  • yellowcard Dani Parejo 49'
  • yellowcard Etienne Capoue 56'
  • goal Gerard Moreno 73'
  • yellowcard Ramon Terrats 80'
  • yellowcard Jorge Cuenca 90'+2'