La Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 17, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 8.00pm
Racing 2 - 2 Valencia
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Umar Sadiq

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 1.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Robert Navarro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Valencia has a probability of 28.88% and a draw has a probability of 26.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Valencia win is 1-0 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.86%).

Result

Valencia 28.88% ▲ (+1.52)
Draw 26.19% ▲ (+0.57)
Athletic Bilbao 44.89% ▼ (-2.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.69% ▼ (-0.90)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.98% ▼ (-1.54)
Under 1.5 26.02% ▲ (+1.54)
Over 2.5 49.49% ▼ (-1.59)
Under 2.5 50.51% ▲ (+1.59)
Over 3.5 27.95% ▼ (-1.07)
Under 3.5 72.05% ▲ (+1.07)
Over 4.5 15.33% ▼ (-0.96)
Under 4.5 84.67% ▲ (+0.96)

First Half Winner

Valencia 22.82% ▼ (-0.52)
Draw 41.54% ▲ (+0.11)
Athletic Bilbao 35.63% ▲ (+0.42)

Team To Score First

Valencia 39.11% ▼ (-0.24)
No Goal 7.53% ▲ (+0.50)
Athletic Bilbao 53.36% ▼ (-0.28)

Corners

Over 8 50.45% ▼ (-6.40)
Equal 8 11.8% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 8 37.75% ▲ (+6.64)
Over 9 39.11% ▼ (-5.57)
Equal 9 11.34% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 9 49.55% ▲ (+6.40)
Over 10.5 29.08% ▼ (-4.36)
Under 10.5 70.92% ▲ (+4.36)

Valencia Goals

Over 1.5 30.2% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 1.5 69.8% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 2.5 10.73% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 2.5 89.27% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 3.5 3.09% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 96.91% ▼ (-0.22)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 74.94% ▼ (-1.86)
Under 0.5 25.06% ▲ (+1.85)
Over 1.5 43.28% ▼ (-2.41)
Under 1.5 56.72% ▲ (+2.41)
Over 2.5 18.56% ▼ (-1.77)
Under 2.5 81.44% ▲ (+1.77)
Over 3.5 6.83% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 3.5 93.17% ▲ (+1.00)

Score analysis

Valencia 28.86%
Draw 26.2%
Athletic Bilbao 44.89%
Valencia
1-0 @ 8% ▲ (+0.70)
2-1 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.31)
3-1 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 28.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.50)
2-2 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 26.2%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 10.44% ▲ (+0.26)
1-2 @ 9.14% ▼ (-0.27)
0-2 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.34)
1-3 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.46)
2-3 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 6.64% ▼ (-1.04)
Total : 44.89%

Head to Head

La Liga
May 10, 2026 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Iñaki Williams 36' yellowcard
  • Dani Vivian 46' yellowcard
  • Álex Berenguer 65' yellowcard
  • 70' yellowcard
  • Mikel Vesga 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Duro 27'
  • yellowcard Largie Ramazani 70'
  • yellowcard Umar Sadiq 70'
  • yellowcard Filip Ugrinic 70'
  • yellowcard 70'
  • goal Umar Sadiq 72'
  • yellowcard Unai Núñez 83'
  • yellowcard Jesús Vázquez 90'+6'
Copa del Rey
Feb 4, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Umar Sadiq 35' goal
  • Hugo Duro 59' yellowcard
  • Cesar Tarrega 59' yellowcard
  • 59' yellowcard
  • César Tárrega 59' yellowcard
  • Cesar Tarrega 60' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • Largie Ramazani 77' yellowcard
  • Diego Lopez 77' yellowcard
  • Diego López 77' yellowcard
  • Guido Rodriguez 89' yellowcard
  • Guido Rodríguez 89' yellowcard
  • goal Umar Sadiq 26' (OG)
  • yellowcard Yuri Berchiche 59'
  • yellowcard Gorka Guruzeta 59'
  • yellowcard Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 59'
  • yellowcard Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta 59'
  • yellowcard Yuri Berchiche 60'
  • yellowcard Nico Williams 70'
  • yellowcard Inaki Williams 70'
  • yellowcard Iñaki Williams 70'
  • yellowcard Mikel Jauregizar 75'
  • goal Inaki Williams 90'+6'
  • goal Iñaki Williams 90'+6'
La Liga
Sep 20, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 18, 2025 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Jose Gaya 42' yellowcard
  • Luis Rioja 66' yellowcard
  • Rafa Mir 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adama Boiro Boiro 15'
  • goal Alex Berenguer 72'
La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Benat Prados 45' goal
  • Benat Prados 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafa Mir 23'
  • yellowcard Cristhian Mosquera 26'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Foulquier 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Hugo Duro 61' goal
  • yellowcard Nico Williams 56'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 90'
  • yellowcard Adu Ares 90'+2'