La Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 15, 2026 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Antonio Blanco 21' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Javi Guerra 21'
  • yellowcard Pepelu 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Aaron Ndive Mayol de la Cueva 52'
  • yellowcard Guido Rodríguez 61'
  • goal Luis Rioja 78'

Alaves vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 1.00pm
Racing 2 - 1 Alaves
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Lucas Boyé

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 8.00pm
Sevilla 1 - 0 Valencia
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Umar Sadiq

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (8.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Alaves 41.44% ▲ (+6.58)
Draw 27.59% ▼ (-0.24)
Valencia 30.97% ▼ (-6.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.39% ▲ (+1.69)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.47% ▲ (+2.10)
Under 1.5 26.53% ▼ (-2.09)
Over 2.5 49.03% ▲ (+2.43)
Under 2.5 50.97% ▼ (-2.43)
Over 3.5 27.81% ▲ (+2.60)
Under 3.5 72.19% ▼ (-2.61)
Over 4.5 15.28% ▲ (+2.22)
Under 4.5 84.72% ▼ (-2.22)

First Half Winner

Alaves 29.66% ▲ (+3.88)
Draw 48.94% ▼ (-0.21)
Valencia 21.39% ▼ (-3.69)

Team To Score First

Alaves 49.32% ▲ (+4.82)
No Goal 7.87% ▼ (-0.86)
Valencia 42.81% ▼ (-3.97)

Corners

Over 8 58.56% ▲ (+0.84)
Equal 8 11.77%
Under 8 29.67% ▼ (-0.83)
Over 9 46.47% ▲ (+0.75)
Equal 9 12.09% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 9 41.44% ▼ (-0.84)
Over 10.5 35.14% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 10.5 64.86% ▼ (-0.60)

Alaves Goals

Over 1.5 40.27% ▲ (+6.64)
Under 1.5 59.73% ▼ (-6.64)
Over 2.5 16.89% ▲ (+4.74)
Under 2.5 83.11% ▼ (-4.74)
Over 3.5 5.93% ▲ (+2.39)
Under 3.5 94.07% ▼ (-2.40)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 66.16% ▼ (-3.55)
Under 0.5 33.84% ▲ (+3.56)
Over 1.5 32.1% ▼ (-3.61)
Under 1.5 67.9% ▲ (+3.61)
Over 2.5 11.73% ▼ (-2.17)
Under 2.5 88.27% ▲ (+2.18)
Over 3.5 3.69% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 3.5 96.31% ▲ (+0.61)

Score analysis

Alaves 41.43%
Draw 27.59%
Valencia 30.97%
Alaves
1-0 @ 10.24% ▲ (+0.35)
2-1 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.78)
2-0 @ 6.84% ▲ (+1.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.83)
3-0 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.79)
3-2 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.57)
Other @ 5.74% ▲ (+2.25)
Total : 41.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.76% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.86)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.28)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 27.59%
Valencia
0-1 @ 8.41% ▼ (-1.59)
1-2 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.87)
0-2 @ 4.84% ▼ (-1.41)
1-3 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.73)
2-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.87)
Other @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.75)
Total : 30.97%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 8, 2026 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Javi Guerra 47' goal
  • Arnaut Danjuma 70' yellowcard
  • Hugo Duro 74' yellowcard
  • Thierry Correia 82' yellowcard
  • Dani Raba 82' yellowcard
  • Diego López 82' yellowcard
  • André Almeida 82' yellowcard
  • André Almeida 83' yellowcard
  • Eray Cömert 90' goal
  • Hugo Duro 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Boyé 3'
  • yellowcard Youssef Enríquez 30'
  • yellowcard Ander Guevara 68'
  • yellowcard Denis Suárez 68'
  • yellowcard Denis Suárez 69'
  • goal Lucas Boyé 71'
  • yellowcard Mariano Díaz 84'
La Liga
Oct 20, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 36
May 14, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Facundo Garces 69' yellowcard
  • Joan Jordan 79' goal
  • Carlos Benavidez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Santiago Mourino 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Joan Jordan 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Duro 41'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Mamardashvili 75'
  • yellowcard Max Aarons 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Dec 22, 2024 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Luis Rioja 70' goal
  • Cristhian Mosquera 86' yellowcard
  • Dani Gomez 90'+8' goal
  • Pepelu 90'+12' yellowcard
  • goal Carlos Martin 7'
  • yellowcard Carlos Martin 22'
  • goal Joan Jordan 88'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2024 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ciudad Deportiva del VCF de Paterna Campo 4
  • goal Tomas Conechny 58'
La Liga Gameweek 34
May 5, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Hugo Duro 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonio Blanco 11'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Tenaglia 22'
  • goal Javi Lopez 68'
  • yellowcard Samu Omorodion 77'