La Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 12, 2026 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
  • Yassir Zabiri 35' yellowcard
  • Yassir Zabiri 38' goal
  • Yassir Zabiri 53' goal
  • Jorge Salinas 62' yellowcard
  • André Almeida 89' redcard
  • yellowcard Nahuel Tenaglia 7'
  • yellowcard Pablo Ibáñez 8'
  • goal Ville Koski 18'
  • yellowcard Antonio Blanco 62'

Racing de Santander vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Santander

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano 3 - 2 Racing
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Yassir Zabiri

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 5.30pm
Alaves 5 - 2 Osasuna
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Lucas Boyé

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (7.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Racing de Santander 42.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 27.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Alaves 30.03% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 24.74% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 51.91% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 48.09% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 30.67% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 69.34% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 17.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 82.42% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Racing de Santander 30.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 41.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Alaves 27.55% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Racing de Santander 47.64% ▲ (+0.14)
No Goal 7.87% ▲ (+0.01)
Alaves 44.49% ▼ (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 72.36% ▼ (-0.29)
Equal 8 9.49% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 8 18.15% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 9 61.41% ▼ (-0.31)
Equal 9 10.95% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 27.64% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 10.5 49.89% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 10.5 50.11% ▲ (+0.29)

Racing de Santander Goals

Over 1.5 42.84% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 57.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 18.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 81.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.67% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.33% ▲ (+0.02)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 65.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 34.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 33.75% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 66.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.44% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Racing de Santander 42.32%
Draw 27.64%
Alaves 30.02%
Racing de Santander
1-0 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.18%
3-1 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.88%
Other @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 42.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02%
3-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 27.64%
Alaves
0-1 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 4.32%
1-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 30.02%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Aug 7, 2026 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
  • 60' yellowcard
  • Asier Villalibre 68' goal
  • 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 10'
  • goal 45' (OG)
  • redcard 64'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 17, 2024 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
  • Inigo Vicente 65' yellowcard
Segunda Division Gameweek 24
Jan 21, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Luis Rioja 13' goal
  • Salva Sevilla 66' goal
  • Mamadou Sylla 79' goal
Segunda Division Gameweek 14
Nov 1, 2022 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
  • Arturo Molina 23' goal
  • goal Miguel de la Fuente 40'