World Cup Gameweek 1
USA
Jun 13, 2026 2.00am
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Los Angeles Stadium
Paraguay
  • Damián Bobadilla 7' goal
  • Folarin Balogun 31' goal
  • Folarin Balogun 45'+5' goal
  • Tim Ream 50' yellowcard
  • Tyler Adams 59' yellowcard
  • Tyler Adams 60' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Reyna 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Juan José Cáceres 9'
  • yellowcard Juan José Cáceres 10'
  • yellowcard 10'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gómez  14'
  • yellowcard Miguel Almirón 52'
  • yellowcard Miguel Almirón 53'
  • goal Mauricio 73'
  • yellowcard Diego Gómez 79'
  • yellowcard Diego Gómez 80'
  • yellowcard Álex Arce  88'
  • yellowcard Júnior Alonso 90'+3'

USA vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions

Paraguay

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%).

Result

USA 46.38% ▲ (+0.45)
Draw 25.47% ▼ (-0.25)
Paraguay 28.15% ▼ (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.24% ▲ (+0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.98% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 1.5 25.02% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 2.5 50.41% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 2.5 49.59% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 3.5 28.63% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 3.5 71.34% ▼ (-0.48)
Over 4.5 16.17% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 4.5 83.83% ▼ (-0.38)

First Half Winner

USA 35.84% ▲ (+0.47)
Draw 44.19% ▼ (-0.35)
Paraguay 19.97% ▼ (-0.14)

Team To Score First

USA 54.79% ▲ (+0.68)
No Goal 6.97% ▼ (-0.16)
Paraguay 38.24% ▼ (-0.54)

Corners

Over 8 55.64% ▲ (+0.80)
Equal 8 12.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 32.33% ▼ (-0.83)
Over 9 43.58% ▲ (+0.70)
Equal 9 12.06% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 9 44.36% ▼ (-0.80)
Over 10.5 32.53% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 10.5 67.47% ▼ (-0.55)

USA Goals

Over 1.5 44.5% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 1.5 55.5% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 2.5 20.14% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 2.5 79.86% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 3.5 7.35% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 3.5 92.65% ▼ (-0.29)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5 63.12% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 0.5 36.88% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 1.5 29.72%
Under 1.5 70.28%
Over 2.5 10.43% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 89.57% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.04% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

USA 46.39%
Draw 25.47%
Paraguay 28.15%
USA
1-0 @ 10.43% ▼ (-0.11)
2-1 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.28)
Total : 46.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 6.97% ▼ (-0.16)
2-2 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.47%
Paraguay
0-1 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.12)
1-2 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 28.15%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
USA
Nov 15, 2025 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Paraguay
International Friendlies
USA
Mar 28, 2018 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Sahlen's Stadium at WakeMed Soccer Park (Cary, North Carolina)
Paraguay
  • Bobby Wood 44' goal
  • Bobby Wood 45' goal
  • DeAndre Yedlin 62' yellowcard
  • Cameron Carter-Vickers 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roberto Junior Fernandez Torres 43'
  • yellowcard Roberto Junior Fernandez Torres 44'
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 53'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Rojas 56'
  • yellowcard Federico Javier Santander Mereles 90'
World Cup
USA
Jul 17, 1930 5.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Parque Central
Paraguay
  • Bert Patenaude 10' goal
  • Bert Patenaude 15' goal
  • Bert Patenaude 50' goal

Form Data

USA 1 - 2 Germany
USA 3 - 2 Senegal
USA 0 - 2 Portugal
USA 2 - 5 Belgium
USA 5 - 1 Uruguay
USA 2 - 1 Paraguay
Paraguay 4 - 0 Nicaragua
Morocco 2 - 1 Paraguay
Greece 0 - 1 Paraguay
Mexico 1 - 2 Paraguay
USA 2 - 1 Paraguay
South Korea 2 - 0 Paraguay

Build-up

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