Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 63.16%. A draw has a probability of 23.2% and a win for River Plate has a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 0-1 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (13.85%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.46%), while for a River Plate win it is 1-0 (6.11%).