Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 35.99%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (12.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.