Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
May 25, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Parque Alfredo Victor Viera

Wanderers
1 - 0
River Plate

Ferreira (41')
Cerro (18'), Zazpe (71'), Royon (80'), Veglio (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ramos (56'), (80'), Rodriguez (80'), Almeida (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Wanderers
Saturday, May 17 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Wanderers
Saturday, May 17 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 35.99%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (12.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Montevideo WanderersDrawRiver Plate
34.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)29.66% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)35.99% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 43.04% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.98% (0.113 0.11)64.02% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.8% (0.080000000000002 0.08)83.2% (-0.080000000000013 -0.08)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.06% (0.055000000000007 0.06)34.94% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.32% (0.059999999999999 0.06)71.68% (-0.059999999999988 -0.06)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16% (0.087000000000003 0.09)33.84% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.5% (0.094000000000001 0.09)70.5% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Montevideo Wanderers 34.35%
    River Plate 35.99%
    Draw 29.65%
Montevideo WanderersDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 12.43% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.54% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 34.35%
1-1 @ 13.47%
0-0 @ 11.82% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.65%
0-1 @ 12.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 35.99%

Head to Head
May 17, 2025 7pm
Gameweek 15
River Plate
0-1
Wanderers

Vera (65'), Alfonso (90+7')
Nahuel Camejo Berrondo (90' og.)
Suarez (40'), Zazpe (64')
Oct 13, 2024 12am
Gameweek 7
Wanderers
0-1
River Plate
Almeida (90+2')
Almeida (90+4')
Jun 23, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 3
Wanderers
1-3
River Plate
Freitas (27')
Morales (88')
Barone (20'), Lavega (41', 66')
Cristobal (45+5'), Campos (77'), Corbo (78'), Vera (81')
Cristobal (83')
Apr 6, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 7
River Plate
3-1
Wanderers
Lavega (35'), Barone (38'), Moreno (74')
Cristobal (62')
Viudez (25')
Ferreira (58'), Cerro (62')
Nov 20, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 11
Wanderers
2-1
River Plate
Milan (89'), Viudez (90+1')
Fonseca (26'), Cerro (68'), Garcia (71'), Acosta (90+3')
Cristobal (15')
Olivera (51'), Viera (67')