Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Jun 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Defensor

River Plate
1 - 2
Defensor

Almeida (37')
Nicolas Jourdan Bellion (25'), Alfonso (45+4'), Rodriguez (73'), (90+2'), Damian Perez Medina (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Biscayzacu Vazquez (10', 21')
Biscayzacu Vazquez (55'), Ginella (60'), Gomez (63')
Alvarez (80')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: Wanderers 1-0 River Plate
Sunday, May 25 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Last Game: Defensor 3-2 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 25 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 45.61%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 26.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a River Plate win it was 1-0 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawDefensor Sporting
26.19% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)28.19% (0.138 0.14)45.61% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 43.87% (-0.372 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.48% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)61.51% (0.465 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.62% (-0.345 -0.34)81.37% (0.34599999999999 0.35)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.1% (-0.279 -0.28)39.9% (0.282 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.44% (-0.258 -0.26)76.56% (0.261 0.26)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (-0.276 -0.28)26.99% (0.279 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (-0.365 -0.37)62.34% (0.36600000000001 0.37)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 26.19%
    Defensor Sporting 45.61%
    Draw 28.18%
River PlateDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.096 0.1)
2-1 @ 5.95% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.82% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 26.19%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.77% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.18%
0-1 @ 14.1% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 9.24% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.49% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 45.61%

How you voted: River Plate vs Defensor

River Plate
20.0%
Draw
13.3%
Defensor Sporting
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2025 10.30pm
Gameweek 2
River Plate
0-1
Defensor

Nicolas Jourdan Bellion (39'), Quintana (86')
Montoya (52')
Soria (83')
Oct 17, 2024 12am
Gameweek 8
River Plate
0-1
Defensor

Camarda (45+2'), Fernandez (83')
Montoya (61')
De Los Santos (45+2'), Spinelli (90+3'), Barco (90+7')
Jul 19, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 6
Defensor
0-1
River Plate

Duarte (42'), Alvarez (78')
Lavega (21')
Lavega (61'), Ezequiel dos Santos Casuriaga (68')
Apr 14, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 8
Defensor
2-1
River Plate
Rivero (7', 62' pen.)
Rodriguez (23'), Mansilla (39'), Soria (42'), De Los Santos (47'), Dawson (90'), Rivero (90+7')
Soria (56'), Guerrero (90+10'), Elizari (90+10')
Barone (90+5')
Cruz De los Santos (69'), Almeida (70'), Corbo (90+7'), Irrazabal (90+7')
Alfonso (90+10'), Cristobal (90+10'), Corbo (90+10'), Barboza (90+10'), Amoroso (90+10'), Cruz De los Santos (90+10'), Almeida (90+10')
Nov 30, 2023 12.15am
Gameweek 13
Defensor
0-1
River Plate

Barco (16'), Freitas (79'), De Los Santos (80')
Barco (29')
Dos Santos (62')
Vera (25'), Barros (77')