Uruguayan Primera Division
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-
Lucas Ferreira
39'
-
Eduardo Darias
75'
-
Cristian Jaime
90'+1'
-
Francisco Calvo
24'
-
Lucas Rodríguez
45'+3'
-
Francisco Calvo
79'
-
Luis Mejía
84'
Penarol vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 27.54% and a draw has a probability of 26.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.63%).
Result
Penarol
45.88%
▼
(-2.09)
Draw
26.59%
▲
(+0.61)
Nacional
27.54%
▲
(+1.49)
Both Teams to Score:
50.88%
▼
(-0.92)
Goals
Over 1.5
71.65%
▼
(-1.12)
Under 1.5
28.35%
▲
(+1.13)
Over 2.5
46.25%
▼
(-1.41)
Under 2.5
53.75%
▲
(+1.41)
Over 3.5
24.01%
▼
(-1.23)
Under 3.5
75.99%
▲
(+1.23)
Over 4.5
12.49%
▼
(-0.83)
Under 4.5
87.51%
▲
(+0.83)
First Half Winner
Penarol
30.4%
▼
(-0.82)
Draw
46.72%
▲
(+0.61)
Nacional
22.88%
▲
(+0.21)
Team To Score First
Penarol
52.84%
▼
(-0.61)
No Goal
8.07%
▲
(+0.54)
Nacional
39.09%
▲
(+0.09)
Corners
Over 8
55.68%
▼
(-0.08)
Equal 8
11.18%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 8
33.14%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 9
44.47%
▼
(-0.11)
Equal 9
11.21%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 9
44.32%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 10.5
34.11%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 10.5
65.89%
▲
(+0.11)
Penarol Goals
Over 1.5
41.72%
▼
(-2.39)
Under 1.5
58.28%
▲
(+2.39)
Over 2.5
16.43%
▼
(-1.72)
Under 2.5
83.57%
▲
(+1.71)
Over 3.5
5.28%
▼
(-0.78)
Under 3.5
94.72%
▲
(+0.79)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
62.24%
▲
(+0.81)
Under 0.5
37.76%
▼
(-0.81)
Over 1.5
27.23%
▲
(+0.70)
Under 1.5
72.77%
▼
(-0.71)
Over 2.5
9.25%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 2.5
90.75%
▼
(-0.43)
Over 3.5
2.39%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 3.5
97.61%
▼
(-0.16)
Score analysis
Penarol
45.87%
Draw
26.59%
Nacional
27.55%
Penarol
1-0
@
11.91%
▲
(+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.95% ▼ (-0.25)
2-0 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.28)
3-0 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.38)
3-1 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.38)
3-2 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.79)
Total : 45.87%
2-1 @ 9.95% ▼ (-0.25)
2-0 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.28)
3-0 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.38)
3-1 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.38)
3-2 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.79)
Total : 45.87%
Draw
1-1
@
12.63%
▲
(+0.25)
0-0 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.54)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 26.59%
0-0 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.54)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 26.59%
Nacional
0-1
@
8.38%
▲
(+0.49)
1-2 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.25)
0-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 27.55%
1-2 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.25)
0-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 27.55%
Head to Head
-
Nicolas Lopez
6'
-
Lucas Rodriguez
42'
-
Gonzalo Carneiro
58'
-
Gonzalo Carneiro
59'
-
Luciano Boggio
68'
-
Sebastian Coates
73'
-
Osinachi Ebere
114'
-
Eric Remedi
29'
-
Leandro Nicolas Umpierrez Hernandez
60'
-
Leonardo Fernandez
89'
-
Ignacio Sosa
91'
-
Ignacio Sosa
92'
-
Nahuel Herrera
99'
-
Nahuel Herrera
100'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
6
-
Sebastian Coates
22'
-
Mateo Antoni
24'
-
Gonzalo Petit Abad
26'
-
Federico Santander
84'
-
Leonardo Fernandez
11'
-
Guillermo de Amores
24'
-
Gaston Ramirez
47'
-
Guzman Rodriguez
51'
-
Rodrigo Perez
90'+20'