Aug 15, 2026 8.30pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Centenario

Yuri Oyarzo 43'
Tomás Habib 55'
Felipe Álvarez 64'
Juan Pablo Bosca 69'
Felipe Álvarez 82'

Agustín Rogel 29'
Francisco Calvo 90'

Racing de Montevideo vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions

D
W
L
D
D
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
W
L
D
D
D

Last game

Aug 10, 2026 11.00pm

Maldonado 2 - 2 Racing

Nacional

All competitions

L
W
W
L
L
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

L
W
L
D
W
L

Last game

Aug 9, 2026 10.30pm

Nacional 1 - 2 Boston River

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 30.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (11.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

Racing de Montevideo 36.52% ▼ (-0.08)

Draw 30.82% ▼ (-0.06)

Nacional 32.66% ▲ (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score:

45.84% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.49% ▼ (-0.28)

Under 1.5 35.51% ▲ (+0.27)

Over 2.5 37.51% ▼ (-0.24)

Under 2.5 62.49% ▲ (+0.24)

Over 3.5 18.55% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 3.5 81.45% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 4.5 8.88% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 4.5 91.12% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Racing de Montevideo 26.25% ▼ (-0.04)

Draw 48.54% ▼ (-0.10)

Nacional 25.2% ▲ (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Racing de Montevideo 43.86% ▼ (-0.11)

No Goal 11.76% ▲ (+0.09)

Nacional 44.38% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 48.75% ▼ (-0.18)

Equal 8 12.05% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 8 39.2% ▲ (+0.17)

Over 9 37.3% ▼ (-0.18)

Equal 9 11.44% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 9 51.25% ▲ (+0.18)

Over 10.5 27.31% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 10.5 72.69% ▲ (+0.15)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 1.5 30.54% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 1.5 69.46% ▲ (+0.21)

Over 2.5 9.92% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 2.5 90.08% ▲ (+0.10)

Over 3.5 2.64% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 3.5 97.36% ▲ (+0.05)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 63.94% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 0.5 36.06% ▲ (+0.10)

Over 1.5 28.07% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 71.93% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 2.5 9.28% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 2.5 90.72% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 3.5 2.52%

Under 3.5 97.48%

Score analysis

Racing de Montevideo 36.52%

Draw 30.83%

Nacional 32.65%

Racing de Montevideo

1-0 @ 12.52% ▲ (+0.09)

2-1 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.10)

2-0 @ 6.91%

3-1 @ 2.73%

3-0 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.05)

3-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.03)

Total : 36.52%

Draw

1-1 @ 14.05% ▼ (-0.09)

0-0 @ 11.76% ▲ (+0.09)

2-2 @ 4.33%

Other @ 0.06% ▼ (-0.03)

Total : 30.83%

Nacional

0-1 @ 11.23% ▲ (+0.12)

1-2 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.04)

0-2 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.05)

1-3 @ 2.61%

0-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.03)

Total : 32.65%

Head to Head

Feb 14, 2026 11.30pm

1

1

HT : 2 1

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Maxi Gomez 17'
Maxi Gómez 17'
Nicolas Rodriguez 46'
Nicolás Rodríguez 45'+3'
Rodrigo Martínez 63'
Agustín Dos Santos 63'
Rodrigo Martinez 64'
Agustín dos Santos 64'
Exequiel Mereles de la Quintana 76'
Exequiel Mereles 76'
Gonzalo Carneiro 82'
Gonzalo Carneiro 83'

Ramiro Brazionis 5'
Juan Pablo Bosca Fraquelli 60'
Erik De Los Santos 60'
Juan Pablo Bosca 60'
Bautista Tomatis 72'
Bautista Euclides Tomatis 73'
Yury Michel Oyarzo Barragán 84'
Yuri Oyarzo 84'
Yury Michel Oyarzo Barragán 85'

Sep 7, 2025 10.00pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Jun 14, 2025 9.30pm

Mar 16, 2025 10.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera

Lucas Monzon 5'
Lucas Rodriguez 60'
Esteban Da Silva 69'

Diego Herazo 41'
Yonatan Rodriguez 80'

Nov 8, 2024 11.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Centenario

Lucas Rodriguez 7'
Gaston Bueno 26'
Guillermo Cotugno 77'
Jose Varela 80'
Renzo Bacchia 82'
Hugo Magallanes 87'

Federico Santander 28'
Lucas Sanabria 42'
Diego Polenta 55'
Jeremia Recoba 81'

May 4, 2024 12.00am

4

2

HT : 4 2

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Antonio Galeano 8'
Antonio Galeano 8'
Alexis Castro 35'
Alexis Castro 36'
Ruben Bentancourt 43'
Ruben Bentancourt 44'
Christian Oliva 57'
Christian Oliva 57'
Juan Izquierdo 68'
Juan Izquierdo 68'
Juan Izquierdo 79'
Juan Izquierdo 79'
Tomas Veron 79'
Federico Santander 90'+1'
Federico Santander 90'+1'

Tomas Veron 11'
Tomas Veron 12'
Oscar Quinonez 30'
Oscar Esteban Quinonez Mendoza 31'
Hugo Magallanes 47'
Hugo Magallanes 47'
Tomas Veron 71'
Tomas Veron 71'
Tomas Veron 85'
Jose Varela 85'
Santiago Mederos 86'
Jose Varela 86'
Santiago Mederos 87'
Hugo Magallanes 89'
Hugo Magallanes 89'

Form Data

Maldonado 2 - 2 Racing

Racing 1 - 0 Boston River

Cerro 1 - 0 Racing

Racing 1 - 1 Penarol

Central Español 1 - 1 Racing

Racing 0 - 0 Defensor

Nacional 1 - 2 Boston River

Nacional 2 - 1 Progreso

Tigre 1 - 2 Nacional

Nacional 0 - 3 Tigre

Nacional 1 - 2 Wanderers

Danubio 0 - 0 Nacional