Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Aug 15, 2026 8.30pm
Estadio Centenario

Racing de Montevideo vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 10, 2026 11.00pm
Maldonado 2 - 2 Racing

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 10.30pm
Nacional 1 - 2 Boston River

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 32.54% and a draw has a probability of 30.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (11.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (14.13%).

Result

Racing de Montevideo 36.59% (-0.01)
Draw 30.87%
Nacional 32.54% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.95%

Goals

Over 1.5 64.76% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 35.24% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 37.74% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 62.26% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 18.6%
Under 3.5 81.39% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 8.92%
Under 4.5 91.08%

First Half Winner

Racing de Montevideo 26.29%
Draw 48.63% (+0.02)
Nacional 25.08% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Racing de Montevideo 43.96% (+0.03)
No Goal 11.67%
Nacional 44.37% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 48.92% (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.04%
Under 8 39.04% (+0.01)
Over 9 37.47% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.45%
Under 9 51.08% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 27.45% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 72.55% (+0.01)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 1.5 30.75%
Under 1.5 69.25%
Over 2.5 10.02%
Under 2.5 89.98%
Over 3.5 2.68%
Under 3.5 97.32%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 64.03% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 35.97% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 28.09% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.91% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 9.33% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.67% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.52%
Under 3.5 97.48%

Score analysis

Racing de Montevideo 36.59%
Draw 30.87%
Nacional 32.53%
Racing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 12.44%
2-1 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 36.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.13%
0-0 @ 11.67%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 30.87%
Nacional
0-1 @ 11.12%
1-2 @ 6.83% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.99%
1-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.53%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Feb 14, 2026 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Maxi Gomez 17' goal
  • Maxi Gómez 17' goal
  • Nicolas Rodriguez 46' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Rodríguez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Martínez 63' yellowcard
  • Agustín Dos Santos 63' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Martinez 64' yellowcard
  • Agustín dos Santos 64' yellowcard
  • Exequiel Mereles de la Quintana 76' yellowcard
  • Exequiel Mereles 76' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 82' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 83' yellowcard
  • goal Ramiro Brazionis 5'
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Bosca Fraquelli 60'
  • yellowcard Erik De Los Santos 60'
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Bosca 60'
  • yellowcard Bautista Tomatis 72'
  • yellowcard Bautista Euclides Tomatis 73'
  • yellowcard Yury Michel Oyarzo Barragán 84'
  • yellowcard Yuri Oyarzo 84'
  • yellowcard Yury Michel Oyarzo Barragán 85'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 7, 2025 10.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Jun 14, 2025 9.30pm
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Mar 16, 2025 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Lucas Monzon 5' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodriguez 60' yellowcard
  • Esteban Da Silva 69' yellowcard
  • goal Diego Herazo 41'
  • yellowcard Yonatan Rodriguez 80'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Nov 8, 2024 11.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Lucas Rodriguez 7' yellowcard
  • Gaston Bueno 26' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Cotugno 77' yellowcard
  • Jose Varela 80' yellowcard
  • Renzo Bacchia 82' yellowcard
  • Hugo Magallanes 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Federico Santander 28'
  • goal Lucas Sanabria 42'
  • yellowcard Diego Polenta 55'
  • goal Jeremia Recoba 81'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
May 4, 2024 12.00am
4
2
HT : 4 2
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Antonio Galeano 8' goal
  • Antonio Galeano 8' goal
  • Alexis Castro 35' yellowcard
  • Alexis Castro 36' yellowcard
  • Ruben Bentancourt 43' goal
  • Ruben Bentancourt 44' goal
  • Christian Oliva 57' yellowcard
  • Christian Oliva 57' yellowcard
  • Juan Izquierdo 68' yellowcard
  • Juan Izquierdo 68' yellowcard
  • Juan Izquierdo 79' goal
  • Juan Izquierdo 79' goal
  • Tomas Veron 79' yellowcard
  • Federico Santander 90'+1' goal
  • Federico Santander 90'+1' goal
  • goal Tomas Veron 11'
  • goal Tomas Veron 12'
  • yellowcard Oscar Quinonez 30'
  • yellowcard Oscar Esteban Quinonez Mendoza 31'
  • yellowcard Hugo Magallanes 47'
  • yellowcard Hugo Magallanes 47'
  • yellowcard Tomas Veron 71'
  • yellowcard Tomas Veron 71'
  • yellowcard Tomas Veron 85'
  • yellowcard Jose Varela 85'
  • goal Santiago Mederos 86'
  • yellowcard Jose Varela 86'
  • goal Santiago Mederos 87'
  • redcard Hugo Magallanes 89'
  • redcard Hugo Magallanes 89'