Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jul 26, 2026 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
  • Nahuel Arena 4' goal
  • Damián Suárez 67' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Arena 78' yellowcard
  • Bruno Morales 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastián da Silva 67'
  • yellowcard Yuri Oyarzo 69'

Cerro vs Racing de Montevideo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jul 12, 2026 4.00pm
Liverpool 1 - 2 Cerro

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jul 12, 2026 10.30pm
Racing 1 - 1 Penarol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 29.48% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 18.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.17%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.41%) , while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Cerro 18.67% (+0.75)
Draw 29.48% (-0.72)
Racing de Montevideo 51.86% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.01% (+1.99)

Goals

Over 1.5 60.44% (+2.06)
Under 1.5 39.56% (-2.06)
Over 2.5 33.14% (+2.59)
Under 2.5 66.86% (-2.60)
Over 3.5 15.64% (+1.68)
Under 3.5 84.36% (-1.69)
Over 4.5 7.71% (+0.96)
Under 4.5 92.29% (-0.96)

First Half Winner

Cerro 14.59% (+0.08)
Draw 52.05% (-0.78)
Racing de Montevideo 33.36% (+0.72)

Team To Score First

Cerro 27.63% (+0.18)
No Goal 13.41% (-0.87)
Racing de Montevideo 58.96% (+0.69)

Corners

Over 8 50.04% (+2.25)
Equal 8 12.34% (+0.04)
Under 8 37.63% (-2.27)
Over 9 38.23% (+1.99)
Equal 9 11.8% (+0.25)
Under 9 49.96% (-2.25)
Over 10.5 27.88% (+1.62)
Under 10.5 72.12% (-1.62)

Cerro Goals

Over 1.5 14.77% (+1.47)
Under 1.5 85.23% (-1.47)
Over 2.5 2.71% (+0.71)
Under 2.5 97.29% (-0.70)
Over 3.5 0.54% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 99.46% (-0.16)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5 73.72% (+0.82)
Under 0.5 26.28% (-0.83)
Over 1.5 38.32% (+1.47)
Under 1.5 61.68% (-1.47)
Over 2.5 14.91% (+1.00)
Under 2.5 85.09% (-0.99)
Over 3.5 4.69% (+0.41)
Under 3.5 95.31% (-0.40)

Score analysis

Cerro 18.66%
Draw 29.49%
Racing de Montevideo 51.84%
Cerro
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.24)
2-1 @ 4.15% (+0.31)
2-0 @ 3.27% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.53% (+0.16)
Total : 18.66%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.41% (-0.87)
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 3.01% (+0.27)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.49%
Racing de Montevideo
0-1 @ 17.4% (-0.93)
0-2 @ 11.17% (-0.39)
1-2 @ 8.57% (+0.42)
0-3 @ 4.46% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.93% (+0.27)
2-3 @ 1.63% (+0.14)
Other @ 4.68% (+0.40)
Total : 51.84%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Mar 8, 2026 12.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Álex Vázquez 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Sosa  46' yellowcard
  • Agustín Álvarez 55' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Sosa  55' yellowcard
  • 55' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Dudok 73' yellowcard
  • Bautista Euclides Tomatis 73' yellowcard
  • Bautista Euclides Tomatis 81' yellowcard
  • 81' yellowcard
  • Bautista Euclides Tomatis 90' goal
  • yellowcard Jairo Amaro 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Bruno Morales 69'
  • yellowcard 69'
  • yellowcard 70'
  • yellowcard Mateo Argüello 73'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • yellowcard 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Aug 10, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Feb 8, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Axel Atum 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Matias Leonardo Nunez Perdomo 60'
  • yellowcard Horacio Salaberry 82'
  • goal Mathias Abero 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Pablo Lacoste 58' yellowcard
  • Claudio Araujo 65' yellowcard
  • Gaston Rodriguez 83' goal
  • Martin Rabunal 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ramirez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Agustin Alaniz 27'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandin 31'
  • yellowcard Robinson Ferreira 44'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Apr 19, 2024 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Dylan Nandin 24' goal
  • Hugo Magallanes 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 49'
  • yellowcard Yonathan Gorgoroso 51'
  • goal Lucas Rodriguez 57'
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Luis Mejia 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jairo Coronel 26'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Fernandez 61'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Gonzalez 68'
  • goal Dylan Nandin 71'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandin 72'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Denis 75'
  • yellowcard Matias Cabrera 87'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Alvarez 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Acosta 90'+13'