Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jul 19, 2026 5.00pm
Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli

Cerro vs Racing de Montevideo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jul 12, 2026 4.00pm
Liverpool 1 - 2 Cerro

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jul 12, 2026 10.30pm
Racing 1 - 1 Penarol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 52.55%. A draw has a probability of 29.74% and a win for Cerro has a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win is 0-1 with a probability of 18.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.51%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.82%) , while for a Cerro win it is 1-0 (9.05%).

Result

Cerro 17.71% (+0.09)
Draw 29.74% (+0.27)
Racing de Montevideo 52.55% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.79% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 58.94% (-0.60)
Under 1.5 41.06% (+0.60)
Over 2.5 31.28% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 68.72% (+0.66)
Over 3.5 14.53% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 85.47% (+0.32)
Over 4.5 7.11% (-0.23)
Under 4.5 92.89% (+0.24)

First Half Winner

Cerro 14.07% (-0.08)
Draw 51.66% (+0.28)
Racing de Montevideo 34.26% (-0.22)

Team To Score First

Cerro 27.28% (-0.25)
No Goal 13.82% (+0.23)
Racing de Montevideo 58.9% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 50.73% (-0.41)
Equal 8 12.65% (-0.03)
Under 8 36.62% (+0.44)
Over 9 38.54% (-0.33)
Equal 9 12.19% (-0.09)
Under 9 49.27% (+0.41)
Over 10.5 27.83% (-0.22)
Under 10.5 72.17% (+0.22)

Cerro Goals

Over 1.5 13.25% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 86.75% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 1.76% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 98.24% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 0.35% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 99.65% (+0.03)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5 73.56% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 26.44% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 37.71% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 62.29% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 14.53% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 85.47% (+0.35)
Over 3.5 4.59% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 95.41% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Cerro 17.71%
Draw 29.74%
Racing de Montevideo 52.55%
Cerro
1-0 @ 9.05% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 3.85% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.14% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.34% (-0.02)
Total : 17.71%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.82% (+0.23)
1-1 @ 13% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 2.83% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.74%
Racing de Montevideo
0-1 @ 18.19% (+0.20)
0-2 @ 11.51% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 4.4% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.58% (-0.17)
Total : 52.55%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Mar 8, 2026 12.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Álex Vázquez 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Sosa  46' yellowcard
  • Agustín Álvarez 55' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Sosa  55' yellowcard
  • 55' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Dudok 73' yellowcard
  • Bautista Euclides Tomatis 73' yellowcard
  • Bautista Euclides Tomatis 81' yellowcard
  • 81' yellowcard
  • Bautista Euclides Tomatis 90' goal
  • yellowcard Jairo Amaro 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Bruno Morales 69'
  • yellowcard 69'
  • yellowcard 70'
  • yellowcard Mateo Argüello 73'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • yellowcard 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Aug 10, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Feb 8, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Axel Atum 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Matias Leonardo Nunez Perdomo 60'
  • yellowcard Horacio Salaberry 82'
  • goal Mathias Abero 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Pablo Lacoste 58' yellowcard
  • Claudio Araujo 65' yellowcard
  • Gaston Rodriguez 83' goal
  • Martin Rabunal 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ramirez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Agustin Alaniz 27'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandin 31'
  • yellowcard Robinson Ferreira 44'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Apr 19, 2024 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Dylan Nandin 24' goal
  • Hugo Magallanes 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 49'
  • yellowcard Yonathan Gorgoroso 51'
  • goal Lucas Rodriguez 57'
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Luis Mejia 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jairo Coronel 26'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Fernandez 61'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Gonzalez 68'
  • goal Dylan Nandin 71'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandin 72'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Denis 75'
  • yellowcard Matias Cabrera 87'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Alvarez 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Acosta 90'+13'