Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2026 10.30pm
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional vs Boston River - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 10.30pm
Nacional 2 - 1 Progreso

Boston River

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 4.00pm
Racing 1 - 0 Boston River

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw has a probability of 24.59% and a win for Boston River has a probability of 15.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.33%) , while for a Boston River win it is 0-1 (6.78%).

Result

Nacional 59.73%
Draw 24.59%
Boston River 15.69%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.42%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.01%
Under 1.5 32.99%
Over 2.5 40.52%
Under 2.5 59.48%
Over 3.5 20.19%
Under 3.5 79.81%
Over 4.5 11.31%
Under 4.5 88.69%

First Half Winner

Nacional 42.96%
Draw 43.22%
Boston River 13.83%

Team To Score First

Nacional 65.57%
No Goal 9.8%
Boston River 24.63%

Corners

Over 8 55.47%
Equal 8 11.89%
Under 8 32.63%
Over 9 43.56%
Equal 9 11.91%
Under 9 44.53%
Over 10.5 32.64%
Under 10.5 67.36%

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 47.58%
Under 1.5 52.42%
Over 2.5 20.97%
Under 2.5 79.03%
Over 3.5 7.51%
Under 3.5 92.49%

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5 47.25%
Under 0.5 52.75%
Over 1.5 14.4%
Under 1.5 85.6%
Over 2.5 3.08%
Under 2.5 96.92%
Over 3.5 0.68%
Under 3.5 99.32%

Score analysis

Nacional 59.72%
Draw 24.6%
Boston River 15.68%
Nacional
1-0 @ 16.41%
2-0 @ 12.68%
2-1 @ 9.97%
3-0 @ 6.36%
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-2 @ 2.03%
Other @ 7.5%
Total : 59.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 9.8%
2-2 @ 3.16%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.6%
Boston River
0-1 @ 6.78%
1-2 @ 3.64%
0-2 @ 2.49%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 15.68%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Feb 8, 2026 11.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Parque José Nasazzi
  • Gonzalo Ezequiel Reyna 67' yellowcard
  • Alexander Gonzalez 67' yellowcard
  • Gaston Ramirez 67' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Reyna 67' yellowcard
  • Alexander González 67' yellowcard
  • Gastón Ramírez 67' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Hornos 74' yellowcard
  • Gaston Ramirez 81' goal
  • Gastón Ramírez 81' goal
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Silvera 46'
  • yellowcard R. Martínez 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Silvera 45'+5'
  • goal Maxi Gomez 61'
  • goal Maxi Gómez 61'
  • goal Tomas Veron 85'
  • goal Tomás Verón Lupi 85'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Lodeiro 88'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 88'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Lodeiro 88'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodríguez 88'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Rodriguez 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Rodríguez 90'+2'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Jun 8, 2025 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Nicolas Lopez 3' goal
  • Nicolas Rodriguez 13' goal
  • Lucas Morales 26' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 73' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Rodriguez 17'
  • yellowcard Alex Silva 50'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Viera 90'+3'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 22, 2025 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Campeones Olimpicos
  • Agustin Anello 40' yellowcard
  • Alexander Gonzalez 41' goal
  • Alexander Gonzalez 48' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Viera 54' goal
  • Franco Suarez Rodriguez 74' yellowcard
  • Agustin Amado 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 32'
  • yellowcard Jeremia Recoba 44'
  • goal Julian Millan 45'+3'
  • goal Christian Oliva 49'
  • goal Eduardo Vargas 85'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2024 9.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Jairo Sebastian Amaro Mello 62' yellowcard
  • Diego Zabala 86' goal
  • Gonzalo Petit Abad 87' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Mauricio Vera 30'
  • goal Leandro Suhr 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Beltran 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Jul 28, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Alexis Castro 17' goal
  • Gabriel Baez 33' yellowcard
  • Gaston Gonzalez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ayrton Cougo 35'
  • yellowcard Bruno Damiani 41'
  • yellowcard Marco Mancebo 78'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Jun 4, 2024 11.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Campeones Olimpicos
  • Gian Franco Allala 44' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Gomez 60' goal
  • Juan Rodriguez 72' yellowcard
  • Bruno Damiani 74' yellowcard
  • Juan Acosta 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Ruben Bentancourt 12'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Baez 17'
  • yellowcard Ruben Bentancourt 36'
  • goal Gonzalo Carneiro 45'+7'
  • goal Federico Santander 69'
  • yellowcard Federico Santander 74'