Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2026 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Rubén Botta 51' goal
  • Maximiliano Silvera  56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolás Siri 49'
  • yellowcard Juan Acosta 54'
  • goal Maximiliano Silvera  57' (OG)
  • goal Facundo Muñoa 65'
  • yellowcard Bruno Antúnez 89'

Nacional vs Boston River - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 10.30pm
Nacional 2 - 1 Progreso

Boston River

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 4.00pm
Racing 1 - 0 Boston River

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.54% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 15.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%) , while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Nacional 59.77% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 24.54% ▼ (-0.06)
Boston River 15.69%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.42%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 32.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 40.57% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 59.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 20.24% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 79.76% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 11.36% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 88.64% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Nacional 42.96%
Draw 43.22%
Boston River 13.81% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Nacional 65.56% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 9.8%
Boston River 24.64% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 56.03% ▲ (+0.57)
Equal 8 11.83% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 8 32.14% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 9 44.13% ▲ (+0.58)
Equal 9 11.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 43.97% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 10.5 33.18% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 10.5 66.82% ▼ (-0.55)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 47.64% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 52.36% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 21.02% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 78.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.47% ▼ (-0.02)

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5 47.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 52.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 14.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 85.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 3.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 96.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 0.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 99.31% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Nacional 59.77%
Draw 24.55%
Boston River 15.7%
Nacional
1-0 @ 16.41%
2-0 @ 12.68%
2-1 @ 9.97%
3-0 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 59.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 9.8%
2-2 @ 3.16%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.55%
Boston River
0-1 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.64%
0-2 @ 2.49%
Other @ 0.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 15.7%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Feb 8, 2026 11.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Parque José Nasazzi
  • Gonzalo Ezequiel Reyna 67' yellowcard
  • Alexander Gonzalez 67' yellowcard
  • Gaston Ramirez 67' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Reyna 67' yellowcard
  • Alexander González 67' yellowcard
  • Gastón Ramírez 67' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Hornos 74' yellowcard
  • Gaston Ramirez 81' goal
  • Gastón Ramírez 81' goal
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Silvera 46'
  • yellowcard R. Martínez 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Silvera 45'+5'
  • goal Maxi Gomez 61'
  • goal Maxi Gómez 61'
  • goal Tomas Veron 85'
  • goal Tomás Verón Lupi 85'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Lodeiro 88'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 88'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Lodeiro 88'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodríguez 88'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Rodriguez 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Rodríguez 90'+2'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Jun 8, 2025 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Nicolas Lopez 3' goal
  • Nicolas Rodriguez 13' goal
  • Lucas Morales 26' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 73' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Rodriguez 17'
  • yellowcard Alex Silva 50'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Viera 90'+3'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 22, 2025 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Campeones Olimpicos
  • Agustin Anello 40' yellowcard
  • Alexander Gonzalez 41' goal
  • Alexander Gonzalez 48' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Viera 54' goal
  • Franco Suarez Rodriguez 74' yellowcard
  • Agustin Amado 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 32'
  • yellowcard Jeremia Recoba 44'
  • goal Julian Millan 45'+3'
  • goal Christian Oliva 49'
  • goal Eduardo Vargas 85'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2024 9.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Jairo Sebastian Amaro Mello 62' yellowcard
  • Diego Zabala 86' goal
  • Gonzalo Petit Abad 87' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Mauricio Vera 30'
  • goal Leandro Suhr 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Beltran 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Jul 28, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Alexis Castro 17' goal
  • Gabriel Baez 33' yellowcard
  • Gaston Gonzalez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ayrton Cougo 35'
  • yellowcard Bruno Damiani 41'
  • yellowcard Marco Mancebo 78'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Jun 4, 2024 11.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Campeones Olimpicos
  • Gian Franco Allala 44' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Gomez 60' goal
  • Juan Rodriguez 72' yellowcard
  • Bruno Damiani 74' yellowcard
  • Juan Acosta 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Ruben Bentancourt 12'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Baez 17'
  • yellowcard Ruben Bentancourt 36'
  • goal Gonzalo Carneiro 45'+7'
  • goal Federico Santander 69'
  • yellowcard Federico Santander 74'