Aug 22, 2026 10.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel

Hernán Menosse 79'
Christian Tabó 90'+3'

Lucas Ferreira 32'
Matías Arezo 34'
Washington Aguerre 54'
Eduardo Darias 89'

Deportivo Maldonado vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions

W
D
D
L
D
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
D
D
L
D
W

Last game

Aug 16, 2026 3.00pm

Progreso 0 - 2 Maldonado

Goals scored

40

Top scorer

Christian Tabó

Penarol

All competitions

W
D
W
W
W
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
D
W
W
W
D

Last game

Aug 16, 2026 10.30pm

Penarol 2 - 1 Central Español

Goals scored

42

Top scorer

Matias Arezo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 44.33%. A draw had a probability of 30.17% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (14.22%) , while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Deportivo Maldonado 25.5% ▼ (-0.70)

Draw 30.17% ▼ (-0.08)

Penarol 44.33% ▲ (+0.84)

Both Teams to Score:

46.14% ▼ (-0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.83% ▼ (-0.30)

Under 1.5 34.17% ▲ (+0.29)

Over 2.5 38.63% ▼ (-0.37)

Under 2.5 61.37% ▲ (+0.37)

Over 3.5 18.71% ▼ (-0.18)

Under 3.5 81.29% ▲ (+0.19)

Over 4.5 9.16% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 4.5 90.84% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Deportivo Maldonado 20.66%

Draw 47.79% ▲ (+0.27)

Penarol 31.55% ▼ (-0.27)

Team To Score First

Deportivo Maldonado 37.85% ▼ (-0.19)

No Goal 11.19% ▲ (+0.17)

Penarol 50.96% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 46.32% ▼ (-0.25)

Equal 8 12.36%

Under 8 41.32% ▲ (+0.25)

Over 9 34.82% ▼ (-0.23)

Equal 9 11.49% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 9 53.68% ▲ (+0.25)

Over 10.5 25% ▼ (-0.20)

Under 10.5 75% ▲ (+0.21)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 1.5 22.84% ▼ (-0.77)

Under 1.5 77.16% ▲ (+0.76)

Over 2.5 5.76% ▼ (-0.45)

Under 2.5 94.24% ▲ (+0.44)

Over 3.5 1.28% ▼ (-0.13)

Under 3.5 98.72% ▲ (+0.13)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 72.32% ▲ (+0.26)

Under 0.5 27.68% ▼ (-0.27)

Over 1.5 36.69% ▲ (+0.41)

Under 1.5 63.31% ▼ (-0.41)

Over 2.5 14.25% ▲ (+0.25)

Under 2.5 85.75% ▼ (-0.25)

Over 3.5 4.16% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 3.5 95.84% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Deportivo Maldonado 25.49%

Draw 30.18%

Penarol 44.32%

Deportivo Maldonado

1-0 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.07)

2-1 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.20)

2-0 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.09)

3-1 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.10)

3-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.13)

3-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.08)

Other @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.11)

Total : 25.49%

Draw

1-1 @ 14.22% ▼ (-0.10)

0-0 @ 11.19% ▲ (+0.17)

2-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.09)

Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 30.18%

Penarol

0-1 @ 13.43% ▲ (+0.24)

1-2 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.03)

0-2 @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.29)

0-3 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.11)

1-3 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.08)

2-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.05)

Other @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.10)

Total : 44.32%

Head to Head

Feb 22, 2026 11.30pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Leandro Umpiérrez 46'
Facundo Batista 46'
Kevin Rodríguez 60'
Matías Arezo 63'
Leonardo Fernández 79'
Brandon Álvarez 82'
Matías González 82'
Brandon Álvarez 90'

Eric Remedi 32' (OG)
Sebastián González 68'
Sebastián Tormo 68'
Guillermo López 76'
Adrian Vila 76'
Diego Segovia 82'
Emiliano Mozzone 82'

Oct 11, 2024 11.00pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Gaston Ramirez 1'
Hernan Toledo 26'
Pablo Gonzalez 41'
Lucas Hernandez 53'
Javier Cabrera 82'

Alan Medina 27'
Javier Cabrera 56'

Jul 6, 2024 7.30pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Leonardo Fernandez 45'
Maximiliano Olivera 84'
Damian Garcia 89'
Diego Romero 90'+7'

Gonzalo Larrazabal 2'
Angel Rodriguez 21'
Santiago Cartagena 66'
Santiago Cartagena 75'
Maximiliano Noble 90'+2'
Franco Gonzalez 90'+7'

Apr 7, 2024 10.00pm

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel

Pablo Gonzalez 11'
Maximiliano Noble 13'
Angel Rodriguez 74'
Agustin Alfaro 80'
Hernan Petryk 83'
Agustin Alfaro 88'

Gaston Ramirez 12'
Maximiliano Silvera 72'
Eduardo Darias 79'

Oct 14, 2023 1.00am

0

1

HT : 0 2

FT Estadio Centenario

Angel Cayetano 53'
Angel Cayetano 53'
Eduardo Darias 90'+3'
Facundo Tealde 90'+4'
Agustin Alfaro 90'+5'
Sebastian Rodriguez 90'+5'
Agustin Alfaro 90'+5'

Lucas Hernandez 16'
Lucas Hernandez 17'
Matias Arezo 30'
Matias Arezo 30'
Maximiliano Olivera 36'
Maximiliano Olivera 37'
Facundo Tealde 90'+5'
Facundo Tealde 90'+5'
Sebastian Rodriguez 90'+5'

Mar 5, 2023 8.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio CampeÃ³n del Siglo

Carlos Sanchez 29'
Matias Arezo 71'

Maximiliano Cantera 25'

Form Data

Progreso 0 - 2 Maldonado

Maldonado 2 - 2 Racing

Maldonado 0 - 0 Juventud

Progreso 1 - 0 Maldonado

Maldonado 1 - 1 Albion

Torque 2 - 4 Maldonado

Penarol 2 - 1 Central Español

Torque 0 - 0 Penarol

Penarol 5 - 1 Wanderers

Penarol 3 - 0 Cerro Largo

Penarol 3 - 0 Boston River

Racing 1 - 1 Penarol