Uruguayan Primera Division
Progreso
Aug 16, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
Maldonado
  • Ramiro Cristóbal 20' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hernán Menosse 2'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano González 32'
  • goal Maximiliano González 68'
  • goal Christian Tabó 90'

Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Central Español 1 - 0 Progreso

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 10, 2026 11.00pm
Maldonado 2 - 2 Racing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 49.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.06% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 23.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%) , while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Progreso 23.87% ▲ (+1.75)
Draw 27.06% ▲ (+0.13)
Deportivo Maldonado 49.02% ▼ (-1.92)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.97% ▲ (+1.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.97% ▲ (+0.94)
Under 1.5 32.03% ▼ (-0.94)
Over 2.5 41.92% ▲ (+1.25)
Under 2.5 58.08% ▼ (-1.25)
Over 3.5 21.12% ▲ (+1.18)
Under 3.5 78.88% ▼ (-1.19)
Over 4.5 11.29% ▲ (+0.80)
Under 4.5 88.71% ▼ (-0.81)

First Half Winner

Progreso 20.12% ▲ (+0.59)
Draw 43.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Deportivo Maldonado 36.6% ▼ (-0.58)

Team To Score First

Progreso 33.73% ▲ (+0.86)
No Goal 9.76% ▼ (-0.46)
Deportivo Maldonado 56.51% ▼ (-0.42)

Corners

Over 8 50.26% ▲ (+2.02)
Equal 8 12.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 37.62% ▼ (-2.08)
Over 9 38.62% ▲ (+1.79)
Equal 9 11.64% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 9 49.74% ▼ (-2.02)
Over 10.5 28.35% ▲ (+1.46)
Under 10.5 71.65% ▼ (-1.45)

Progreso Goals

Over 1.5 22.07% ▲ (+2.09)
Under 1.5 77.93% ▼ (-2.08)
Over 2.5 6.5% ▲ (+1.10)
Under 2.5 93.5% ▼ (-1.10)
Over 3.5 1.42% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 3.5 98.58% ▼ (-0.36)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5 75.23% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 0.5 24.77% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 1.5 41.57% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 1.5 58.43% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 2.5 17.13% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 2.5 82.87% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 6.02% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 93.98% ▼ (-0.16)

Score analysis

Progreso 23.88%
Draw 27.06%
Deportivo Maldonado 49.01%
Progreso
1-0 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.39)
2-0 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.31)
3-1 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.27)
3-2 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.22)
3-0 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.30)
Total : 23.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 9.76% ▼ (-0.46)
2-2 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.31)
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 27.06%
Deportivo Maldonado
0-1 @ 13.71% ▼ (-0.69)
0-2 @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.69)
1-2 @ 9.22% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.40)
1-3 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.19)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 49.01%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Progreso
Jul 18, 2026 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
Maldonado
  • Agustín Ocampo 10' goal
  • Agustín Ocampo 36' yellowcard
  • Ayrton Cougo 41' yellowcard
  • Ayrton Cougo 59' redcard
  • Sebastián Cardozo 63' redcard
  • Agustín Requena 76' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Silva 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Tealde   28'
  • yellowcard Renato César 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Hernán Menosse 90'+6'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Maldonado
Feb 14, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
Progreso
  • Maximiliano Noble 29' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Noble 61' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Fernandez 69' yellowcard
  • Joaquín Fernández 69' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Gonzalez 75' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Lopez Matturo 75' yellowcard
  • Sebastián González 75' yellowcard
  • Guillermo López 75' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Mozzone 84' yellowcard
  • Hernan Petryk 84' yellowcard
  • Hernán Petryk 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matteo Tiziano Copelotti Clara 46'
  • yellowcard Santiago Viera 46'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Fernandez 46'
  • yellowcard Matteo Copelotti 46'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Fernández 46'
  • yellowcard Elvis Nahuel López Barboza 68'
  • yellowcard 68'
  • yellowcard Nahuel López 68'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Silva 78'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Silva Reyes 80'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Maldonado
Oct 6, 2024 10.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
Progreso
  • Renato Cesar 26' goal
  • Mathias Suarez 45'+1' goal
  • Pablo Gonzalez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Fernandez 22'
  • yellowcard Horacio Sequeira 40'
  • goal Gaston Colman 49'
  • goal Mario Garcia 66'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Progreso
Jul 21, 2024 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
Maldonado
  • Sebastian Cardozo 13' yellowcard
  • Facundo Silvera 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Gonzalez 52'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Noble 75'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Gonzalez 84'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Diana 89'
  • goal Maximiliano Noble 90'+2'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Progreso
Mar 31, 2024 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
Maldonado
  • Franco Lopez 13' goal
  • 14' goal
  • Hernan Menosse 35' goal
  • Franco Lopez 55' yellowcard
  • Joel Poiso 59' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Cardozo 71' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Cardozo 88' goal
  • goal Marco Ruben 23'
  • yellowcard Agustin Alfaro 36'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Cantera 82'
  • yellowcard Hernan Petryk 84'
  • yellowcard Hernan Menosse 86'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Noble 86'
  • yellowcard Diego Romero 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Progreso
Oct 21, 2021 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
Maldonado
  • Adolfo Lima 17' goal
  • Alex Silva 42' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Andrada 45' yellowcard
  • Gaston Colman 46' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Muniz 83'

Form Data

Central Español 1 - 0 Progreso
Nacional 2 - 1 Progreso
Progreso 1 - 0 Maldonado
Wanderers 2 - 0 Progreso
Progreso 1 - 2 Albion
Danubio 1 - 2 Progreso
Maldonado 2 - 2 Racing
Maldonado 0 - 0 Juventud
Progreso 1 - 0 Maldonado
Maldonado 1 - 1 Albion
Torque 2 - 4 Maldonado
Maldonado 3 - 0 Nacional