Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Aug 16, 2026 3.00pm
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Central Español 1 - 0 Progreso

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 10, 2026 11.00pm
Maldonado 2 - 2 Racing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw has a probability of 26.93% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.42%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.36%) , while for a Progreso win it is 1-0 (8.35%).

Result

Progreso 22.13% (-0.11)
Draw 26.93% (+0.04)
Deportivo Maldonado 50.94% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.12% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.03% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 32.97% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 40.67% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 59.33% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 19.94% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 80.06% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 10.49% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 89.51% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Progreso 19.54% (+0.02)
Draw 43.29% (+0.02)
Deportivo Maldonado 37.17% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Progreso 32.87%
No Goal 10.21% (+0.08)
Deportivo Maldonado 56.92% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 48.24% (-0.12)
Equal 8 12.07% (+0.01)
Under 8 39.69% (+0.11)
Over 9 36.83% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.41% (-0.01)
Under 9 51.76% (+0.12)
Over 10.5 26.9% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 73.1% (+0.10)

Progreso Goals

Over 1.5 19.99% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 80.01% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 5.4% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 94.6% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 1.06% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.94% (+0.04)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5 75.68% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 24.32% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 42.07% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 57.93% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 17.42% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 82.58% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5.86% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.14% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Progreso 22.14%
Draw 26.92%
Deportivo Maldonado 50.93%
Progreso
1-0 @ 8.35% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 5.37% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.59%
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.12% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.04% (-0.03)
Total : 22.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 10.21% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.02% (-0.01)
Total : 26.92%
Deportivo Maldonado
0-1 @ 14.4% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 10.42% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.98%
1-3 @ 4.18%
2-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 5.84% (-0.04)
Total : 50.93%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jul 18, 2026 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Agustín Ocampo 10' goal
  • Agustín Ocampo 36' yellowcard
  • Ayrton Cougo 41' yellowcard
  • Ayrton Cougo 59' redcard
  • Sebastián Cardozo 63' redcard
  • Agustín Requena 76' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Silva 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Tealde   28'
  • yellowcard Renato César 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Hernán Menosse 90'+6'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Feb 14, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
  • Maximiliano Noble 29' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Noble 61' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Fernandez 69' yellowcard
  • Joaquín Fernández 69' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Gonzalez 75' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Lopez Matturo 75' yellowcard
  • Sebastián González 75' yellowcard
  • Guillermo López 75' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Mozzone 84' yellowcard
  • Hernan Petryk 84' yellowcard
  • Hernán Petryk 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matteo Tiziano Copelotti Clara 46'
  • yellowcard Santiago Viera 46'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Fernandez 46'
  • yellowcard Matteo Copelotti 46'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Fernández 46'
  • yellowcard Elvis Nahuel López Barboza 68'
  • yellowcard 68'
  • yellowcard Nahuel López 68'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Silva 78'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Silva Reyes 80'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Oct 6, 2024 10.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
  • Renato Cesar 26' goal
  • Mathias Suarez 45'+1' goal
  • Pablo Gonzalez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Fernandez 22'
  • yellowcard Horacio Sequeira 40'
  • goal Gaston Colman 49'
  • goal Mario Garcia 66'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jul 21, 2024 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Sebastian Cardozo 13' yellowcard
  • Facundo Silvera 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Gonzalez 52'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Noble 75'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Gonzalez 84'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Diana 89'
  • goal Maximiliano Noble 90'+2'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Mar 31, 2024 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Franco Lopez 13' goal
  • 14' goal
  • Hernan Menosse 35' goal
  • Franco Lopez 55' yellowcard
  • Joel Poiso 59' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Cardozo 71' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Cardozo 88' goal
  • goal Marco Ruben 23'
  • yellowcard Agustin Alfaro 36'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Cantera 82'
  • yellowcard Hernan Petryk 84'
  • yellowcard Hernan Menosse 86'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Noble 86'
  • yellowcard Diego Romero 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Oct 21, 2021 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Adolfo Lima 17' goal
  • Alex Silva 42' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Andrada 45' yellowcard
  • Gaston Colman 46' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Muniz 83'