Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Parque Luis Méndez Piana

Central Español vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 7.00pm
Central Español 0 - 0 Liverpool

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 10.30pm
Nacional 2 - 1 Progreso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Central Español win with a probability of 35.23%. A win for Progreso has a probability of 34.11% and a draw has a probability of 30.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Español win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.38%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Progreso win is 0-1 (12.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.88%).

Result

Central Español 35.23%
Draw 30.71%
Progreso 34.11%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.69%

Goals

Over 1.5 63.15%
Under 1.5 36.85%
Over 2.5 36.46%
Under 2.5 63.54%
Over 3.5 17.99%
Under 3.5 82.01%
Over 4.5 8.76%
Under 4.5 91.24%

First Half Winner

Central Español 24.58%
Draw 50.48%
Progreso 24.93%

Team To Score First

Central Español 45.09%
No Goal 12.11%
Progreso 42.8%

Corners

Over 8 49.85%
Equal 8 12.34%
Under 8 37.81%
Over 9 38.03%
Equal 9 11.82%
Under 9 50.15%
Over 10.5 27.66%
Under 10.5 72.34%

Central Español Goals

Over 1.5 29.06%
Under 1.5 70.94%
Over 2.5 9.23%
Under 2.5 90.77%
Over 3.5 2.49%
Under 3.5 97.51%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 64.17%
Under 0.5 35.83%
Over 1.5 28.14%
Under 1.5 71.86%
Over 2.5 9.41%
Under 2.5 90.59%
Over 3.5 2.57%
Under 3.5 97.43%

Score analysis

Central Español 35.22%
Draw 30.72%
Progreso 34.11%
Central Español
1-0 @ 12.56%
2-1 @ 7.38%
2-0 @ 6.63%
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 35.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.88%
0-0 @ 12.11%
2-2 @ 4.15%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 30.72%
Progreso
0-1 @ 12.23%
1-2 @ 6.87%
0-2 @ 6.18%
1-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.11%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Feb 7, 2026 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Matteo Tiziano Copelotti Clara 61' yellowcard
  • Matteo Copelotti 61' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Silva 61' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Silva 72' yellowcard
  • Mauro Martín 72' yellowcard
  • Marcos Paolini 72' yellowcard
  • Mauro Joaquin Martin Colman 73' yellowcard
  • 73' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Jorge Alberto Silva 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raúl Andrés Tarragona Lemos 3'
  • yellowcard Raúl Tarragona 3'
  • goal Marcos Montiel 18'
  • yellowcard Facundo Sosa 60'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Muniz 60'
  • goal Fernando Manuel Camarda Rosa 61'
  • goal Fernando Camarda 61'
  • yellowcard Facundo Nicolás Sosa Hoyo 61'
  • yellowcard Facundo Sosa 61'
  • yellowcard Lucas Wasilewsky 68'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Campos 68'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Campos 68'
  • yellowcard Facundo Yocco Dilazaro 77'
  • yellowcard Facundo Yocco 77'