Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2026 10.30pm
Estadio Charrúa

Montevideo City Torque vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jul 31, 2026 11.00pm
Torque 0 - 2 Wanderers

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 6, 2026 12.00am
Penarol 5 - 1 Wanderers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 43.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.33% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 27.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%) , while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 1-0 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result

Montevideo City Torque 27.04%
Draw 29.33%
Penarol 43.63%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.91% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.42% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 34.58% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 38.82%
Under 2.5 61.18%
Over 3.5 19.42% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 80.58% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 9.63% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 90.37% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Montevideo City Torque 20.74% (+0.01)
Draw 48.23% (-0.03)
Penarol 31.02% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Montevideo City Torque 36.2% (-0.02)
No Goal 11.54%
Penarol 52.26% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 49.34% (-0.02)
Equal 8 12.38%
Under 8 38.27% (+0.02)
Over 9 37.53% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.81%
Under 9 50.66% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 27.21% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 72.79% (+0.02)

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 1.5 23.79% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 76.21% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 7.11% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.89% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.6% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.4% (+0.02)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 71.18%
Under 0.5 28.82%
Over 1.5 36.33%
Under 1.5 63.67%
Over 2.5 13.67% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.33% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.22%
Under 3.5 95.78%

Score analysis

Montevideo City Torque 27.02%
Draw 29.34%
Penarol 43.63%
Montevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 9.67%
2-1 @ 6.19% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.62% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.44%
3-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.59% (-0.02)
Total : 27.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 11.54%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.34%
Penarol
0-1 @ 13.36%
0-2 @ 8.8% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.37%
1-3 @ 3.61%
0-3 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 43.63%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Feb 7, 2026 11.30pm
3
1
HT : 6 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Matias Arezo 2' goal
  • Matías Arezo 2' goal
  • Gary Kagelmacher 8' goal
  • Gary Kagelmacher  8' goal
  • Gaston Togni 33' goal
  • Gastón Togni 33' goal
  • Matias Gonzalez 46' yellowcard
  • Kevin Andy Rodríguez Suárez 46' yellowcard
  • Matías González 46' yellowcard
  • Kevin Rodríguez 46' yellowcard
  • Luis Angulo 59' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Darias 59' yellowcard
  • Luis Miguel Angulo Sevillano 60' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Darias 60' yellowcard
  • Facundo Batista 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Duré 46'
  • yellowcard Lucas Duré 45'+2'
  • goal Lucas Duré 54'
  • yellowcard Luka Andrade 61'
  • yellowcard Alexander Nahuel da Silva Rivero 72'
  • yellowcard Jose Taran 72'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Da Silva 72'
  • yellowcard José Tarán 72'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Nov 9, 2025 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
May 18, 2025 12.00am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Leonardo Fernandez 4' goal
  • Leonardo Fernandez 4' goal
  • Javier Cabrera 41' yellowcard
  • Javier Cabrera 41' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 71' goal
  • Leonardo Fernandez 71' goal
  • Leonardo Fernandez 87' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 87' yellowcard
  • goal Maximiliano Villa 19'
  • goal Maximiliano Villa 19'
  • redcard Luka Andrade 45'
  • redcard Luka Andrade 45'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Villa 52'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Villa 52'
  • yellowcard Santiago Costa 87'
  • yellowcard Santiago Costa 87'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Oct 18, 2023 11.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Santiago Costa 13' goal
  • Nicolas Siri 22' goal
  • Oscar Salomon 63' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Villa 63' yellowcard
  • Franco Catarozzi 63' yellowcard
  • Franco Pizzichillo 67' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Pereyra 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Oscar Salomon 90'+6' redcard
  • yellowcard Matias Arezo 37'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Olivera 38'
  • goal Matias Arezo 43'
  • goal Sebastian Rodriguez 44'
  • goal Sebastian Rodriguez 65'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Rodriguez 75'
  • yellowcard Carlos Sanchez 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Jul 3, 2023 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Abel Hernandez 58' goal
  • Abel Hernandez 78' goal
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Mar 12, 2023 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Matias Arezo 13' goal
  • Nicolas Rossi 70' goal
  • goal Tiago Palacios 52'
  • goal Sebastian Ribas 84'