Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
7
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Penarol vs Cerro Largo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 55%. A draw has a probability of 26.93% and a win for Cerro Largo has a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.13%) , while for a Cerro Largo win it is 0-1 (7.68%).
Result
Penarol
55%
▼
(-0.11)
Draw
26.93%
▲
(+0.06)
Cerro Largo
18.07%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
41.82%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 1.5
64.73%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
35.27%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 2.5
37.8%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 2.5
62.2%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 3.5
17.45%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 3.5
82.55%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 4.5
9.14%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 4.5
90.86%
▲
(+0.13)
First Half Winner
Penarol
39.75%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
44.82%
▼
(-0.01)
Cerro Largo
15.43%
▼
(-0.08)
Team To Score First
Penarol
60.05%
No Goal
11.27%
▲
(+0.09)
Cerro Largo
28.68%
▼
(-0.09)
Corners
Over 8
56.21%
▼
(-0.01)
Equal 8
12.26%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
31.52%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 9
43.84%
Equal 9
12.37%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 9
43.79%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 10.5
32.47%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 10.5
67.53%
▼
(-0.02)
Penarol Goals
Over 1.5
43%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 1.5
57%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 2.5
17.16%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 2.5
82.84%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
5.73%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
94.27%
▲
(+0.07)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5
49.42%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
50.58%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
15.7%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
84.3%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
3.35%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
96.65%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
0.61%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
99.39%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Penarol
55%
Draw
26.94%
Cerro Largo
18.07%
Penarol
1-0
@
16.33%
▲
(+0.06)
2-0 @ 11.9% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 55%
2-0 @ 11.9% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 55%
Draw
1-1
@
12.13%
0-0 @ 11.27% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.94%
0-0 @ 11.27% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.94%
Cerro Largo
0-1
@
7.68%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 18.07%
1-2 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 18.07%
Head to Head
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
15
May 12, 2026 12.30am
2
3
HT :
1
0
FT
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
-
Diego Daguerre
45'+3'
-
Mario García
64'
-
Gustavo Viera
78'
-
Emiliano Jourdan
82'
-
Federico Sellecchia
82'
-
Federico Sellecchia
84'
-
Facundo Alvez
40'
-
Abel Hernández
46'
-
Facundo Batista
59'
-
Stiven Muhlethaler
62'
-
Kevin Rodríguez
62'
-
Leandro Umpiérrez
74'
-
Abel Hernández
87'
-
Tomás Olase
89'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
2
Jun 1, 2025 9.30pm
1
1
HT :
1
1
FT
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
-
Facundo Bonifazi
29'
-
Nicolas Bertochi
40'
-
Maximiliano Anasco
45'+2'
-
69'
-
Sebastian Assis
69'
-
Diego Garcia
26'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
9
-
Rodrigo Perez
20'
-
Rodrigo Perez
20'
-
Jaime Baez
57'
-
Jaime Baez
57'
-
Nicolas Bertochi
28'
-
Nicolas Bertochi
28'
-
Nicolas Bertochi
51'
-
Nicolas Bertochi
51'
-
Leandro Otormin
70'
-
Leandro Otormin
70'
-
Leandro Otormin
76'
-
Leandro Otormin
76'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
1
-
Tomas Olase Curutchet
73'
-
Axel Prado
29'
-
Julian Contrera
45'+2'
-
Matias Mir
84'
-
Sebastian Assis
86'
-
Javier Cabrera
87'
-
Nicolas Cabral
90'+3'
-
Nicolas Cabral
90'+3'
-
Matias Mir
90'+6'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
1
-
<TBD>
10'
-
Jairo Coronel
25'
-
Mauro Brasil
32'
-
Sergio Nunez
44'
-
Lucas Correa
67'
-
Maximiliano Olivera
32'
-
Leo Coelho
50'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
59'
-
Leonardo Fernandez
68'
-
Ignacio Sosa
79'
-
Leonardo Fernandez
82'