Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Penarol
Aug 1, 2026 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Cerro Largo
  • Abel Hernández  34' goal
  • Lucas Hernández 39' yellowcard
  • Abel Hernández  54' goal
  • Matías Arezo 59' goal
  • Brian Barboza 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Marcel 24'

Penarol vs Cerro Largo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 8.00pm
Penarol 3 - 0 Boston River

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 7.00pm
Central Español 0 - 1 Cerro Largo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 51.93%. A draw had a probability of 28.25% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 19.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%) , while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Penarol 51.93% ▼ (-0.21)
Draw 28.25% ▲ (+0.17)
Cerro Largo 19.82% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.48% ▼ (-0.30)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.99% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 1.5 37.01% ▲ (+0.49)
Over 2.5 36.2% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 2.5 63.8% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 3.5 16.26% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 3.5 83.74% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 4.5 8.21% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 4.5 91.79% ▲ (+0.22)

First Half Winner

Penarol 38.34% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 45.9% ▲ (+0.11)
Cerro Largo 15.76% ▼ (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Penarol 58.21% ▼ (-0.29)
No Goal 12% ▲ (+0.19)
Cerro Largo 29.79% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 53.71% ▲ (+0.12)
Equal 8 12.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 8 33.97% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 41.53% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 9 12.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 46.29% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 10.5 30.55% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 10.5 69.45% ▼ (-0.18)

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 39.87% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 1.5 60.13% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 2.5 15.25% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 2.5 84.75% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 3.5 4.7% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 95.3% ▲ (+0.15)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5 51.07% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 0.5 48.93% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 16.61% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 83.39% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 2.5 3.63% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 96.37% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 0.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 99.34% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Penarol 51.93%
Draw 28.25%
Cerro Largo 19.81%
Penarol
1-0 @ 16.47% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 10.95% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 51.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.66% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 12% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.25%
Cerro Largo
0-1 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.11)
1-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 19.81%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Cerro Largo
May 12, 2026 12.30am
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Penarol
  • Diego Daguerre 45'+3' goal
  • Mario García 64' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Viera 78' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Jourdan 82' yellowcard
  • Federico Sellecchia 82' yellowcard
  • Federico Sellecchia 84' goal
  • yellowcard Facundo Alvez 40'
  • yellowcard Abel Hernández  46'
  • goal Facundo Batista 59'
  • yellowcard Stiven Muhlethaler 62'
  • yellowcard Kevin Rodríguez 62'
  • goal Leandro Umpiérrez 74'
  • goal Abel Hernández  87'
  • yellowcard Tomás Olase 89'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Cerro Largo
Sep 27, 2025 10.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Cerro Largo
Jun 1, 2025 9.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Penarol
  • Facundo Bonifazi 29' goal
  • Nicolas Bertochi 40' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Anasco 45'+2' yellowcard
  • 69' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Assis 69' yellowcard
  • goal Diego Garcia 26'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Penarol
Mar 31, 2025 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Cerro Largo
  • Rodrigo Perez 20' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Perez 20' yellowcard
  • Jaime Baez 57' redcard
  • Jaime Baez 57' redcard
  • goal Nicolas Bertochi 28'
  • goal Nicolas Bertochi 28'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Bertochi 51'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Bertochi 51'
  • yellowcard Leandro Otormin 70'
  • yellowcard Leandro Otormin 70'
  • goal Leandro Otormin 76'
  • goal Leandro Otormin 76'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Penarol
Aug 17, 2024 9.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Cerro Largo
  • Tomas Olase Curutchet 73' redcard
  • yellowcard Axel Prado 29'
  • yellowcard Julian Contrera 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Matias Mir 84'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Assis 86'
  • yellowcard Javier Cabrera 87'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Cabral 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Cabral 90'+3'
  • redcard Matias Mir 90'+6'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Cerro Largo
Feb 18, 2024 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Centenario
Penarol
  • <TBD> 10' goal
  • Jairo Coronel 25' yellowcard
  • Mauro Brasil 32' yellowcard
  • Sergio Nunez 44' goal
  • Lucas Correa 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Olivera 32'
  • yellowcard Leo Coelho 50'
  • goal Leonardo Sequeira 59'
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 68'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Sosa 79'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Fernandez 82'

Form Data

Penarol 3 - 0 Boston River
Racing 1 - 1 Penarol
Cerro 0 - 1 Penarol
Penarol 0 - 1 Central Español
Penarol 0 - 1 Santa Fe
Defensor 0 - 2 Penarol
Central Español 0 - 1 Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo 1 - 1 Defensor
Liverpool 0 - 0 Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo 2 - 0 Cerro
Cerro Largo 3 - 0 Boston River
Racing 1 - 0 Cerro Largo