Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Aug 16, 2026 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Mauricio Lemos 27' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Olivera   54' goal
  • Cristian Jaime 70' goal
  • Nicolás Fernández 78' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Alegre 81' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Fernández 85' redcard
  • yellowcard Franco Muñoz  25'
  • yellowcard Matías González 75'
  • goal Guillermo Gandolfo 80'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Villoldo  90'+2'

Penarol vs Central Español - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 10.30pm
Torque 0 - 0 Penarol

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Central Español 1 - 0 Progreso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.16% and a win for Central Español had a probability of 12.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (10.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%) , while for a Central Español win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Penarol 64.18% ▲ (+1.44)
Draw 23.16% ▼ (-0.65)
Central Español 12.66% ▼ (-0.78)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.51% ▼ (-0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.01% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 30.99% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 42.84% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 2.5 57.16% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 3.5 22.13% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 77.87% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 13.31% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 4.5 86.69% ▼ (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Penarol 42.44% ▲ (+0.79)
Draw 43.73% ▼ (-0.48)
Central Español 13.83% ▼ (-0.32)

Team To Score First

Penarol 62.37% ▲ (+0.43)
No Goal 9.24% ▼ (-0.12)
Central Español 28.39% ▼ (-0.31)

Corners

Over 8 57.3% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 8 10.72%
Under 8 31.98% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 9 46.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 10.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 42.7% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 10.5 36.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 63.83% ▼ (-0.04)

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 51.86% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 1.5 48.14% ▼ (-0.69)
Over 2.5 24.29% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 2.5 75.71% ▼ (-0.59)
Over 3.5 9.81% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 3.5 90.19% ▼ (-0.47)

Central Español Goals

Over 0.5 44.95% ▼ (-1.37)
Under 0.5 55.05% ▲ (+1.37)
Over 1.5 12.18% ▼ (-0.98)
Under 1.5 87.82% ▲ (+0.97)
Over 2.5 1.84% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 2.5 98.16% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 3.5 0.41% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 99.59% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Penarol 64.18%
Draw 23.18%
Central Español 12.67%
Penarol
1-0 @ 16% ▲ (+0.34)
2-0 @ 13.17% ▲ (+0.45)
2-1 @ 10.74% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 5.25%
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.47)
Total : 64.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11% ▼ (-0.20)
0-0 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.18%
Central Español
0-1 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.14)
1-2 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.34)
0-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.4% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 12.67%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Jun 2, 2026 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Diego Laxalt 40' yellowcard
  • Matías Arezo 90'+1' redcard
  • Lucas Ferreira 90'+3' redcard
  • Eric Remedi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Eric Remedi 90'+4' redcard
  • Washington Aguerre 90'+12' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mariano Aguilera 47'
  • yellowcard César Nunes 53'
  • goal Lucas Pino 90'+11'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Feb 15, 2026 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
  • Guillermo Gandolfo Antunes 57' goal
  • Guillermo Gandolfo 57' goal
  • Lucas Pino 66' yellowcard
  • Mateo Cantera 66' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino Garcia 67' yellowcard
  • Mateo Cantera 67' yellowcard
  • Lucas Pino Garcia 71' goal
  • Lucas Pino 71' goal
  • César Nunes 75' yellowcard
  • Cesar Nunes da Costa 76' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • Facundo Nicolás Sosa Hoyo 84' yellowcard
  • Facundo Sosa 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franco González 67'
  • yellowcard Edison Luciano González Ribeiro 76'
  • yellowcard Stiven Mülhethaler 76'
  • yellowcard Stiven Muhlethaler 76'
  • yellowcard Luciano González 76'
  • yellowcard Kevin Andy Rodríguez Suárez 84'
  • yellowcard Kevin Rodríguez 84'
  • goal Matias Arezo 90'+3'
  • goal Matías Arezo 90'+3'