Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
3
-
Agustín Dos Santos
35'
-
Francisco Calvo
88'
-
Maximiliano Silvera
90'
-
Santino Bruschi
16'
-
Marco Saravia
29'
-
Marco Saravia
31'
-
Facundo de León
45'
-
Joaquín Solleiro
77'
-
R. Bacchia
84'
Nacional vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 63.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.89% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.52%) and 2-1 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%) , while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood.
Result
Nacional
63.17%
▲
(+0.35)
Draw
22.89%
▼
(-0.08)
Progreso
13.99%
▼
(-0.27)
Both Teams to Score:
42.17%
▲
(+0.18)
Goals
Over 1.5
68.61%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 1.5
31.39%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 2.5
41.92%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 2.5
58.08%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 3.5
21.4%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 3.5
78.6%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 4.5
12.05%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 4.5
87.95%
▼
(-0.12)
First Half Winner
Nacional
43.55%
▲
(+0.23)
Draw
43.33%
▼
(-0.11)
Progreso
13.12%
▼
(-0.14)
Team To Score First
Nacional
66.5%
▲
(+0.24)
No Goal
8.72%
▼
(-0.13)
Progreso
24.78%
▼
(-0.11)
Corners
Over 8
53.38%
▲
(+0.56)
Equal 8
11.94%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 8
34.68%
▼
(-0.51)
Over 9
41.63%
▲
(+0.56)
Equal 9
11.75%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 9
46.62%
▼
(-0.56)
Over 10.5
31.02%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 10.5
68.98%
▼
(-0.50)
Nacional Goals
Over 1.5
50.55%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 1.5
49.45%
▼
(-0.37)
Over 2.5
23.02%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 2.5
76.98%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 3.5
8.45%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 3.5
91.55%
▼
(-0.18)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5
46.16%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
53.84%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
13.37%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
86.63%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 2.5
2.16%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 2.5
97.84%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
0.49%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
99.51%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Nacional
63.16%
Draw
22.9%
Progreso
14%
Nacional
1-0
@
16.54%
▼
(-0.09)
2-0 @ 13.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 10.18% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 63.16%
2-0 @ 13.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 10.18% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 63.16%
Draw
1-1
@
10.95%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.9%
0-0 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.9%
Progreso
0-1
@
6.19%
▼
(-0.12)
1-2 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 14%
1-2 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 14%
Head to Head
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
3
-
Nicolás Fernández
46'
-
Matteo Copelotti
79'
-
Juan Rivero
85'
-
Gonzalo Silva
85'
-
Ignacio Lemmo
90'
-
Julián Millán
45'+3'
-
Baltasar Barcia
69'
-
Nicolás Lodeiro
69'
-
Nicolás López
83'
-
Agustín Dos Santos
83'
-
Gonzalo Carneiro
90'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
1
-
Lucas Morales
9'
-
Lucas Morales
9'
-
Eduardo Vargas
27'
-
Eduardo Vargas
27'
-
Diego Romero
41'
-
Diego Romero
41'
-
Gianfranco Trasante
71'
-
Gianfranco Trasante
71'
-
Christian Oliva
90'
-
Christian Oliva
90'
-
Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales
41'
-
Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales
41'
-
Nicolas Olivera
81'
-
Nicolas Olivera
81'
-
Alejandro Garcia
82'
-
Alejandro Garcia
82'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
3
-
Gonzalo Jorge Alberto Silva
25'
-
Carlos Alberto Ordonez Esterilla
47'
-
Nicolas Fernandez
52'
-
Nicolas Fernandez
52'
-
Adrian Colombino
53'
-
Facundo Silvera
55'
-
Nicolas Gonzalez
67'
-
Agustin Pinheiro Goggia
81'
-
Jeremia Recoba
11'
-
Jeremia Recoba
11'
-
Diego Herazo
17'
-
Diego Herazo
17'
-
Nicolas Lopez
36'
-
Nicolas Lopez
36'
-
Julian Millan
41'
-
Nicolas Lopez
49'
-
Christian Oliva
55'
-
Nicolas Lopez
63'
-
Nicolas Lopez
63'
-
Bruno Gustavo Arady Mata
84'
-
Bruno Gustavo Arady Mata
84'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
5
-
Gustavo Alles
18'
-
Gustavo Alles
18'
-
Danilo Asconeguy
33'
-
Danilo Asconeguy
33'
-
Jorge Gonzalez
60'
-
Jorge Gonzalez
60'
-
Ignacio Lemmo
78'
-
Ignacio Lemmo
78'
-
Gonzalo Castillo
81'
-
Gonzalo Castillo
81'
-
Alexis Castro
12'
-
Alexis Castro
12'
-
Ruben Bentancourt
13'
-
Ruben Bentancourt
13'
-
Sebastian Coates
45'+2'
-
Sebastian Coates
45'+2'
-
Exequiel Mereles de la Quintana
60'
-
Exequiel Mereles de la Quintana
60'
-
Jeremia Recoba
66'
-
Jeremia Recoba
66'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
5
-
Erik De Los Santos
19'
-
Erik De Los Santos
19'
-
Erik De Los Santos
19'
-
Jose Varela
63'
-
Jose Varela
63'
-
Jose Varela
63'
-
Tomas Veron
72'
-
Tomas Veron
72'
-
Tomas Veron
72'
-
Tomas Veron
72'
-
Diego Zabala
72'
-
Juan Rivero
83'
-
Juan Rivero
83'
-
Juan Rivero
83'
-
Federico Santander
89'
-
Tomas Veron
90'+1'
-
Tomas Veron
90'+1'
-
Tomas Veron
90'+1'
-
Lucas Monzon
90'+6'
-
Lucas Monzon
90'+6'
-
Lucas Monzon
90'+6'
-
Diego Polenta
90'+7'
-
Maximiliano Viera
18'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
20'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
20'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
20'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
20'
-
Martin Marta
31'
-
Camilo Mayada
35'
-
Camilo Mayada
35'
-
Camilo Mayada
35'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
40'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
40'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
40'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
40'
-
Gaston Colman
60'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
66'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
66'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
66'
-
Eduardo Darias
70'
-
Eduardo Darias
70'
-
Eduardo Darias
70'
-
Ignacio Lemmo
87'
-
Alex Silva
89'