Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
3
Nacional vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw has a probability of 22.96% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 14.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.49%) and 2-1 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.89%) , while for a Progreso win it is 0-1 (6.31%).
Result
Nacional
62.83%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
22.96%
Progreso
14.26%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
41.99%
Goals
Over 1.5
68.29%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
31.71%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 2.5
41.66%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
58.34%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
21.27%
Under 3.5
78.73%
Over 4.5
11.93%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
88.07%
▼
(-0.02)
First Half Winner
Nacional
43.32%
Draw
43.43%
▲
(+0.01)
Progreso
13.25%
▼
(-0.01)
Team To Score First
Nacional
66.26%
▲
(+0.02)
No Goal
8.85%
▼
(-0.02)
Progreso
24.89%
▲
(+0.02)
Corners
Over 8
52.83%
▲
(+0.02)
Equal 8
11.98%
Under 8
35.19%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 9
41.08%
▲
(+0.01)
Equal 9
11.74%
Under 9
47.17%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 10.5
30.52%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 10.5
69.48%
▼
(-0.01)
Nacional Goals
Over 1.5
50.18%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
49.82%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
22.69%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
77.31%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
8.28%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
91.72%
▼
(-0.02)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5
46.28%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
53.72%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
13.49%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
86.51%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
2.26%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
97.74%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
0.52%
Under 3.5
99.48%
Score analysis
Nacional
62.84%
Draw
22.97%
Progreso
14.26%
Nacional
1-0
@
16.62%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 13.49%
2-1 @ 10.15% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.44%
3-2 @ 2.31%
Other @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 62.84%
2-0 @ 13.49%
2-1 @ 10.15% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.44%
3-2 @ 2.31%
Other @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 62.84%
Draw
1-1
@
10.89%
0-0 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.12%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.97%
0-0 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.12%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.97%
Progreso
0-1
@
6.31%
1-2 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.23%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 14.26%
1-2 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.23%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 14.26%
Head to Head
Agustín Ocampo
82'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
3
-
Nicolás Fernández
46'
-
Matteo Copelotti
79'
-
Juan Rivero
85'
-
Gonzalo Silva
85'
-
Ignacio Lemmo
90'
-
Julián Millán
45'+3'
-
Baltasar Barcia
69'
-
Nicolás Lodeiro
69'
-
Nicolás López
83'
-
Agustín Dos Santos
83'
-
Gonzalo Carneiro
90'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
1
-
Lucas Morales
9'
-
Lucas Morales
9'
-
Eduardo Vargas
27'
-
Eduardo Vargas
27'
-
Diego Romero
41'
-
Diego Romero
41'
-
Gianfranco Trasante
71'
-
Gianfranco Trasante
71'
-
Christian Oliva
90'
-
Christian Oliva
90'
-
Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales
41'
-
Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales
41'
-
Nicolas Olivera
81'
-
Nicolas Olivera
81'
-
Alejandro Garcia
82'
-
Alejandro Garcia
82'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
3
-
Gonzalo Jorge Alberto Silva
25'
-
Carlos Alberto Ordonez Esterilla
47'
-
Nicolas Fernandez
52'
-
Nicolas Fernandez
52'
-
Adrian Colombino
53'
-
Facundo Silvera
55'
-
Nicolas Gonzalez
67'
-
Agustin Pinheiro Goggia
81'
-
Jeremia Recoba
11'
-
Jeremia Recoba
11'
-
Diego Herazo
17'
-
Diego Herazo
17'
-
Nicolas Lopez
36'
-
Nicolas Lopez
36'
-
Julian Millan
41'
-
Nicolas Lopez
49'
-
Christian Oliva
55'
-
Nicolas Lopez
63'
-
Nicolas Lopez
63'
-
Bruno Gustavo Arady Mata
84'
-
Bruno Gustavo Arady Mata
84'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
5
-
Gustavo Alles
18'
-
Gustavo Alles
18'
-
Danilo Asconeguy
33'
-
Danilo Asconeguy
33'
-
Jorge Gonzalez
60'
-
Jorge Gonzalez
60'
-
Ignacio Lemmo
78'
-
Ignacio Lemmo
78'
-
Gonzalo Castillo
81'
-
Gonzalo Castillo
81'
-
Alexis Castro
12'
-
Alexis Castro
12'
-
Ruben Bentancourt
13'
-
Ruben Bentancourt
13'
-
Sebastian Coates
45'+2'
-
Sebastian Coates
45'+2'
-
Exequiel Mereles de la Quintana
60'
-
Exequiel Mereles de la Quintana
60'
-
Jeremia Recoba
66'
-
Jeremia Recoba
66'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
5
-
Erik De Los Santos
19'
-
Erik De Los Santos
19'
-
Erik De Los Santos
19'
-
Jose Varela
63'
-
Jose Varela
63'
-
Jose Varela
63'
-
Tomas Veron
72'
-
Tomas Veron
72'
-
Tomas Veron
72'
-
Tomas Veron
72'
-
Diego Zabala
72'
-
Juan Rivero
83'
-
Juan Rivero
83'
-
Juan Rivero
83'
-
Federico Santander
89'
-
Tomas Veron
90'+1'
-
Tomas Veron
90'+1'
-
Tomas Veron
90'+1'
-
Lucas Monzon
90'+6'
-
Lucas Monzon
90'+6'
-
Lucas Monzon
90'+6'
-
Diego Polenta
90'+7'
-
Maximiliano Viera
18'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
20'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
20'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
20'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
20'
-
Martin Marta
31'
-
Camilo Mayada
35'
-
Camilo Mayada
35'
-
Camilo Mayada
35'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
40'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
40'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
40'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
40'
-
Gaston Colman
60'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
66'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
66'
-
Leonardo Sequeira
66'
-
Eduardo Darias
70'
-
Eduardo Darias
70'
-
Eduardo Darias
70'
-
Ignacio Lemmo
87'
-
Alex Silva
89'