World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 26, 2026 3.00am
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Los Angeles Stadium
  • Arda Güler 10' goal
  • Barış Alper Yılmaz 31' goal
  • Kaan Ayhan 90'+8' goal
  • goal Auston Trusty 3'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Berhalter 19'
  • goal Sebastian Berhalter 49'

Turkey vs USA - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Feature

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 20, 2026 4.00am
Turkey 0 - 1 Paraguay

USA

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 19, 2026 8.00pm
USA 2 - 0 Australia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 57.93%. A win for USA had a probability of 21.13% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest USA win was 1-2 (5.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result

Turkey 57.93% ▲ (+8.04)
Draw 20.9% ▼ (-1.11)
USA 21.13% ▼ (-6.98)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.2% ▼ (-10.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.02% ▼ (-4.29)
Under 1.5 19.98% ▲ (+4.29)
Over 2.5 59.12% ▼ (-5.93)
Under 2.5 40.88% ▲ (+5.93)
Over 3.5 37.17% ▼ (-6.68)
Under 3.5 62.8% ▲ (+6.65)
Over 4.5 24.85% ▼ (-3.75)
Under 4.5 75.15% ▲ (+3.75)

First Half Winner

Turkey 43.8% ▲ (+43.80)
Draw 41.18% ▲ (+41.18)
USA 15.02% ▲ (+15.02)

Team To Score First

Turkey 67.58% ▲ (+67.58)
No Goal 5.36% ▲ (+5.36)
USA 27.06% ▲ (+27.06)

Corners

Over 8 58.41% ▲ (+58.41)
Equal 8 11.43% ▲ (+11.43)
Under 8 30.16% ▲ (+30.16)
Over 9 46.7% ▲ (+46.70)
Equal 9 11.7% ▲ (+11.70)
Under 9 41.59% ▲ (+41.59)
Over 10.5 35.7% ▲ (+35.71)
Under 10.5 64.3% ▲ (+64.30)

Turkey Goals

Over 1.5 56.85% ▲ (+1.95)
Under 1.5 43.15% ▼ (-1.95)
Over 2.5 31.45% ▲ (+1.61)
Under 2.5 68.55% ▼ (-1.61)
Over 3.5 14.63% ▲ (+1.11)
Under 3.5 85.37% ▼ (-1.10)

USA Goals

Over 0.5 54.35% ▼ (-10.92)
Under 0.5 45.65% ▲ (+10.93)
Over 1.5 26.1% ▼ (-10.22)
Under 1.5 73.9% ▲ (+10.23)
Over 2.5 10.75% ▼ (-5.31)
Under 2.5 89.25% ▲ (+5.32)
Over 3.5 3.82% ▼ (-2.32)
Under 3.5 96.18% ▲ (+2.33)

Score analysis

Turkey 57.93%
Draw 20.9%
USA 21.14%
Turkey
1-0 @ 9.87% ▲ (+2.82)
2-0 @ 9.66% ▲ (+3.01)
2-1 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 6.48% ▲ (+2.27)
3-1 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▼ (-1.11)
Other @ 14.25% ▲ (+1.22)
Total : 57.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.39)
0-0 @ 5.36% ▲ (+1.61)
2-2 @ 4.7% ▼ (-1.63)
3-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.58)
Other @ 0.38% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 20.9%
USA
1-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-1.19)
0-1 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.99)
2-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.95)
1-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-1.24)
0-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 3.44% ▼ (-2.22)
Total : 21.14%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2025 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jack McGlynn 1' goal
  • Nathan Harriel 85' yellowcard
  • goal Arda Guler 24'
  • goal Kerem Akturkoglu 27'
  • yellowcard Yusuf Akcicek 78'

Build-up

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