Club Friendlies 3
Jul 19, 2026 11.00am
Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 15, 2026 1.00am
Tondela 0 - 0 Varzim

Nacional

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 10.30am
Nacional 0 - 0 Leixoes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tondela win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 30.06% and a draw has a probability of 28.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (9.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.89%).

Result

Tondela 41.32% (+0.04)
Draw 28.62% (-0.01)
Nacional 30.06% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.07% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.16% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 30.84% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 44.16% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 55.84% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 22.83% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 77.17% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 11.89% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 88.11% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Tondela 29.35% (+0.08)
Draw 46.36% (-0.08)
Nacional 24.29% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Tondela 48.88% (+0.10)
No Goal 9.79% (-0.09)
Nacional 41.33% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.83% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.33%
Under 8 26.84% (+0.08)
Over 9 49.88% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.94% (-0.01)
Under 9 38.17% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 38.39% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 61.61% (+0.07)

Tondela Goals

Over 1.5 37.11% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 62.89% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 14.26% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 85.74% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 4.35% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.65% (-0.04)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 63.57% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 36.43% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 29.06% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 70.94% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 9.73% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 90.27% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.81% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 97.19% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Tondela 41.32%
Draw 28.61%
Nacional 30.06%
Tondela
1-0 @ 11.85% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.88% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.55% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.28% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.29% (+0.04)
Total : 41.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.89% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 9.79% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 0.06% (+0.01)
Total : 28.61%
Nacional
0-1 @ 9.19%
1-2 @ 7.11% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.05% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.75% (+0.03)
Total : 30.06%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Apr 25, 2026 3.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio João Cardoso
  • Tiago Manso 38' yellowcard
  • Makan Aïko 60' yellowcard
  • Yaya Sithole 61' yellowcard
  • Makan Aïko 61' yellowcard
  • B. Kimpioka 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Ruan 14'
  • goal Jesús Ramírez 22'
  • goal Brayan Medina 31' (OG)
  • yellowcard André Sousa 78'
  • yellowcard João Aurélio 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Joel Silva 90'+1'
  • yellowcard João Aurélio 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Joel Silva 90'+2'
Primeira Liga
Dec 15, 2025 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Taca de Portugal
Nov 9, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio dos Barreiros
  • Dudu 75' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 22, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jhon Murillo 17' goal
  • Ricardo Alves 60' goal
  • Pedro Augusto 74' yellowcard
  • Tomislav Strkalj 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Camacho 13'
  • yellowcard Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan 38'
  • yellowcard Ruben Micael 73'
  • redcard Nuno Borges 85'
  • yellowcard Joao Camacho 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Antonio Filipe 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Dec 27, 2020 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ruben Micael 1' goal
  • Nuno Borges 27' yellowcard
  • Brayan Riascos 68' goal
  • yellowcard Bebeto 18'
  • redcard Bebeto 27'
  • yellowcard Salvador Agra 30'
  • yellowcard Enzo Martinez 81'
  • yellowcard Naoufel Khacef 83'
  • redcard Naoufel Khacef 90'+6'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2019 3.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
  • Daniel Guimaraes 21' yellowcard
  • Brayan Riascos 36' goal
  • Fernando Tissone 62' goal
  • Vitor Goncalves 83' goal
  • Kalindi 89' yellowcard
  • goal Tomane 22'
  • yellowcard Bruno Monteiro 35'
  • yellowcard Joao Jaquite 61'
  • goal Fahd Moufi 66'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 79'
  • yellowcard Pite 90'