Nations League
Gameweek
2
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-
Lamine Yamal
2'
-
Marc Pubill
31'
-
Álex Baena
49'
-
Lamine Yamal
63'
-
Nico Williams
89'
-
Marin Pongracic
18'
-
Dion Beljo
28'
-
Petar Sučić
37'
-
Marco Pašalić
54'
-
Josip Misic
58'
Spain vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.71% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%) , while for a Croatia win it was 1-2 (5.03%).
Result
Spain
61.66%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
19.71%
Croatia
18.63%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
52.08%
▲
(+0.12)
Goals
Over 1.5
80.11%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
19.89%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 2.5
58.37%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 2.5
41.63%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
35.84%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
64.16%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
22.95%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
77.05%
▲
(+0.04)
First Half Winner
Spain
40.83%
▲
(+0.09)
Draw
41.4%
▼
(-0.08)
Croatia
17.77%
▼
(-0.02)
Team To Score First
Spain
61.56%
▼
(-0.26)
No Goal
4.8%
▲
(+0.02)
Croatia
33.64%
▲
(+0.25)
Corners
Over 8
56.92%
▲
(+0.27)
Equal 8
10.88%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 8
32.2%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 9
45.92%
▲
(+0.28)
Equal 9
11%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 9
43.08%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 10.5
35.65%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 10.5
64.35%
▼
(-0.25)
Spain Goals
Over 1.5
58.65%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
41.35%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 2.5
33.03%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
66.97%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 3.5
15.03%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
84.97%
▲
(+0.05)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5
53.46%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
46.54%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
22.5%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
77.5%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
6.97%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
93.03%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
2.01%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
97.99%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Spain
61.65%
Draw
19.71%
Croatia
18.63%
Spain
1-0
@
10.12%
2-1 @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 14.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 61.65%
2-1 @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 14.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 61.65%
Draw
1-1
@
9.45%
0-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 19.71%
0-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 19.71%
Croatia
1-2
@
5.03%
0-1 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 18.63%
0-1 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 18.63%