Serie B
Aug 30, 2026 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Danilo Martelli
  • Alessio Castellini 42' yellowcard
  • Francesco Bardi 51' yellowcard
  • Francesco Ruocco 58' goal
  • Vanja Vlahović 61' goal
  • Fahem Benaïssa 90' goal
  • yellowcard Gerard Yepes 23'
  • yellowcard Karim Zedadka 49'
  • goal Edoardo Saporiti 51'
  • yellowcard Guido Pagliuca 55'
  • yellowcard Marco Curto 57'
  • yellowcard Luca Belardinelli 74'
  • yellowcard Lapo Deli 86'
  • yellowcard Luca Magnino 90'+3'

Mantova vs Empoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mantova

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 6.00pm
Carrarese 1 - 2 Mantova
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Francesco Ruocco

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 8.00pm
Empoli 1 - 0 Cremonese
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Stiven Shpendi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 49.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.68% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 24.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%) , while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Mantova 49.01% ▲ (+0.31)
Draw 26.68% ▼ (-0.06)
Empoli 24.35% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.53%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.18% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 24.82% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 2.5 51.86% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 48.14% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 29.6% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 3.5 70.4% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 4.5 16.84% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 4.5 83.16% ▼ (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Mantova 34.45% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 47.13% ▼ (-0.19)
Empoli 18.42% ▲ (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Mantova 58.58% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 7.51% ▼ (-0.09)
Empoli 33.91% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.68% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.66%
Under 8 31.66% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 44.93% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 43.32% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 34.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 65.93% ▲ (+0.09)

Mantova Goals

Over 1.5 47.63% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 1.5 52.37% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 2.5 22.24% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 2.5 77.76% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 3.5 8.44% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 91.56% ▼ (-0.16)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5 61.24% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 38.76% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 27.74% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 72.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 9.54%
Under 2.5 90.46%
Over 3.5 2.72%
Under 3.5 97.28%

Score analysis

Mantova 49%
Draw 26.67%
Empoli 24.36%
Mantova
1-0 @ 10.56% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.16)
Total : 49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.67%
Empoli
0-1 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.36%

Head to Head

Serie B
Mar 14, 2026 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • Brando Moruzzi 46' yellowcard
  • Marco Nasti 46' yellowcard
  • Stiven Shpendi 50' goal
  • Edoardo Saporiti 72' yellowcard
  • Tyronne Ebuehi 72' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Haas 80' yellowcard
  • Edoardo Saporiti 84' goal
  • goal Davide Bragantini 21'
  • goal Stefano Cella 37'
  • yellowcard Tiago Gonçalves 46'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Marras 57'
  • yellowcard Maat Daniel Caprini 57'
  • yellowcard David Wieser 67'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Maggioni 88'
Serie B
Dec 21, 2025 4.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • David Wieser 31' yellowcard
  • Cesar Falletti 41' yellowcard
  • 63' yellowcard
  • Davis Mensah 63' yellowcard
  • Francesco Ruocco 63' yellowcard
  • Simone Trimboli 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriele Guarino 39'
  • yellowcard 63'
  • yellowcard D. Mensah 63'
  • yellowcard Salvatore Elia 63'
  • goal Marco Nasti 67'
  • yellowcard Marco Nasti 68'