Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • Filippo Distefano 3' goal
  • goal 90'

Empoli vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 5.00pm
Empoli 1 - 0 Virtus Entella

Spezia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 48.39%. A draw had a probability of 28.71% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.18%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%) , while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result

Empoli 48.39% (-0.11)
Draw 28.71% (+0.04)
Spezia 22.9% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.13% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.11% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 29.89% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 44.1% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 55.9% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 22.28% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 77.72% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 11.63% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 88.37% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Empoli 32.58% (-0.10)
Draw 47.23% (+0.12)
Spezia 20.19% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Empoli 54.99%
No Goal 9.43% (+0.02)
Spezia 35.58% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 57.1% (-0.12)
Equal 8 11.34% (+0.02)
Under 8 31.56% (+0.10)
Over 9 45.62% (-0.13)
Equal 9 11.48% (+0.01)
Under 9 42.9% (+0.12)
Over 10.5 34.93% (-0.12)
Under 10.5 65.07% (+0.13)

Empoli Goals

Over 1.5 42.95% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 57.05% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 17.45% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 82.55% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 5.78% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 94.22% (+0.07)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 58.7% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 41.3% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 23.28% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 76.72% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 7.04%
Under 2.5 92.96%
Over 3.5 1.77% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.23% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Empoli 48.39%
Draw 28.71%
Spezia 22.91%
Empoli
1-0 @ 12.78% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 10.18% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.34% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.52% (-0.07)
Total : 48.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.25% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 9.43% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77%
3-3 @ 1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.26% (-0.02)
Total : 28.71%
Spezia
0-1 @ 7.69% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.92% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.52% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.39% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 22.91%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 31
Mar 17, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
  • Christian Comotto 63' yellowcard
  • Gabriele Artistico 69' goal
  • Leonardo Sernicola 78' yellowcard
  • Luca Vignali 78' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Bellemo 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joseph Ceesay 46'
  • yellowcard Bogdan Popov 55'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Haas 56'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Saporiti 80'
  • yellowcard Daniel Fila 80'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Saporiti 90'+6'
Serie B
Sep 14, 2025 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 26, 2024 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Centro Sportivo Flaminio
  • Sebastiano Esposito 28' yellowcard
  • Francesco Caputo 50' goal
  • Emmanuel Ekong 61' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolo Bertola 34'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Feb 11, 2023 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • Nicolo Cambiaghi 71' goal
  • Emanuel Vignato 90'+4' goal
  • goal Daniele Verde 25'
  • goal Daniele Verde 31'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
  • Emmanuel Gyasi 4' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 36' goal
  • Arkadiusz Reca 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Henderson 14'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 9, 2022 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Federico Di Francesco 11' yellowcard
  • Szymon Zurkowski 20' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Gyasi 27'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Amian 29'