Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%) , while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.